Extracurricular Activity
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 133 (15 on the archive and 118 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Hungarian): 55
Defender wins (Russian): 77
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1068 | 970 | 64% | 2026-01-16 | Won |
| 1041 | 919 | 67% | 2025-07-31 | Lost |
| 1141 | 938 | 76% | 2025-02-09 | Won |
| 952 | 952 | 50% | 2024-10-18 | Lost |
| 1040 | 980 | 59% | 2024-10-03 | Lost |
| 1118 | 1161 | 44% | 2024-03-05 | Lost |
| 1064 | 946 | 66% | 2023-09-17 | Lost |
| 845 | 967 | 33% | 2021-11-24 | Won |
| 879 | 980 | 36% | 2021-08-23 | Tied |
| 1007 | 1020 | 48% | 2021-06-03 | Won |
| 945 | 1256 | 14% | 2020-05-26 | Lost |
| 1173 | 1143 | 54% | 2020-05-02 | Won |
| 1049 | 989 | 59% | 2020-01-05 | Won |
| 1014 | 1058 | 44% | 2019-04-18 | Lost |
| 996 | 1005 | 49% | 2018-12-05 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1022.1 vs 1018.9 has a 50.46% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).