A Push in the Bush
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 20 (8 on the archive and 12 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 6
Defender wins (Italian): 14
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 976 | 1005 | 46% | 2022-11-21 | Lost |
| 978 | 1040 | 41% | 2022-01-27 | Lost |
| 956 | 1136 | 26% | 2021-06-27 | Won |
| 949 | 1044 | 37% | 2020-10-17 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1094 | 45% | 2020-03-22 | Won |
| 1040 | 1116 | 39% | 2019-11-03 | Lost |
| 1121 | 1310 | 25% | 2019-05-10 | Lost |
| 1189 | 1005 | 74% | 2019-02-18 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1033.4 vs 1093.8 has a 41.4% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).