Armored Probe at Sidi-Nsir
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 35 (11 on the archive and 24 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German / Italian): 19
Defender wins (French): 16
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1013 | 1028 | 48% | 2024-05-02 | Won |
| 1176 | 1221 | 44% | 2023-12-27 | Won |
| 903 | 869 | 55% | 2022-01-13 | Lost |
| 1109 | 1074 | 55% | 2021-01-13 | Lost |
| 1082 | 1024 | 58% | 2020-01-24 | Lost |
| 991 | 1226 | 21% | 2019-12-10 | Won |
| 1313 | 1250 | 59% | 2019-11-24 | Won |
| 1186 | 984 | 76% | 2019-05-18 | Lost |
| 1059 | 982 | 61% | 2019-04-09 | Won |
| 984 | 1125 | 31% | 2019-04-05 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1006 | 78% | 2019-03-22 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1094.7 vs 1071.7 has a 53.31% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).