Armored Probe at Sidi-Nsir
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 35 (11 on the archive and 24 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German / Italian): 19
Defender wins (French): 16
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1015 | 974 | 56% | 2024-05-02 | Won |
| 1190 | 1213 | 47% | 2023-12-27 | Won |
| 893 | 869 | 53% | 2022-01-13 | Lost |
| 1042 | 1094 | 43% | 2021-01-13 | Lost |
| 1081 | 1024 | 58% | 2020-01-24 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1226 | 21% | 2019-12-10 | Won |
| 1338 | 1264 | 60% | 2019-11-24 | Won |
| 1245 | 956 | 84% | 2019-05-18 | Lost |
| 1059 | 982 | 61% | 2019-04-09 | Won |
| 956 | 1131 | 27% | 2019-04-05 | Lost |
| 1226 | 983 | 80% | 2019-03-22 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1095 vs 1065.1 has a 54.29% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).