Armored Probe at Sidi-Nsir
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 34 (10 on the archive and 24 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German / Italian): 16
Defender wins (French): 18
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1011 | 1040 | 46% | 2024-05-02 | Won |
| 1141 | 1257 | 34% | 2023-12-27 | Won |
| 952 | 870 | 62% | 2022-01-13 | Lost |
| 1116 | 1063 | 58% | 2021-01-13 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1024 | 59% | 2020-01-24 | Lost |
| 956 | 1223 | 18% | 2019-12-10 | Won |
| 1189 | 1005 | 74% | 2019-05-18 | Lost |
| 1058 | 982 | 61% | 2019-04-09 | Won |
| 1005 | 1132 | 32% | 2019-04-05 | Lost |
| 1223 | 927 | 85% | 2019-03-22 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1073.5 vs 1052.3 has a 53.05% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).