Winter's Fury
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 20 (9 on the archive and 11 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German / Italian): 9
Defender wins (American): 10
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German / Italian): 1
Defender wins (American): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 948 | 1082 | 32% | 2024-12-23 | Won |
| 1113 | 1039 | 60% | 2024-03-21 | Lost |
| 912 | 1146 | 21% | 2021-04-23 | Lost |
| 909 | 1048 | 31% | 2020-11-06 | Lost |
| 909 | 1048 | 31% | 2020-11-06 | Lost |
| 1221 | 1030 | 75% | 2020-09-30 | Won |
| 1221 | 982 | 80% | 2019-04-09 | Lost |
| 1221 | 982 | 80% | 2019-04-09 | Lost |
| 1189 | 980 | 77% | 2019-02-18 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1071.4 vs 1037.4 has a 54.88% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).