Winter's Fury
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 21 (10 on the archive and 11 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German / Italian): 7
Defender wins (American): 13
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German / Italian): 1
Defender wins (American): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1071 | 992 | 61% | 2024-12-23 | Won |
| 1085 | 1056 | 54% | 2024-03-21 | Lost |
| 895 | 1143 | 19% | 2021-04-23 | Lost |
| 950 | 1037 | 38% | 2020-11-06 | Lost |
| 950 | 1037 | 38% | 2020-11-06 | Lost |
| 1177 | 958 | 78% | 2020-11-06 | Won |
| 1216 | 1020 | 76% | 2020-09-30 | Won |
| 1216 | 982 | 79% | 2019-04-09 | Lost |
| 1216 | 982 | 79% | 2019-04-09 | Lost |
| 1178 | 986 | 75% | 2019-02-18 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1095.4 vs 1019.3 has a 60.78% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).