Winter's Fury
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 20 (9 on the archive and 11 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German / Italian): 6
Defender wins (American): 13
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German / Italian): 1
Defender wins (American): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 982 | 1084 | 36% | 2024-12-23 | Won |
| 1139 | 1056 | 62% | 2024-03-21 | Lost |
| 898 | 1142 | 20% | 2021-04-23 | Lost |
| 951 | 1028 | 39% | 2020-11-06 | Lost |
| 951 | 1028 | 39% | 2020-11-06 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1030 | 75% | 2020-09-30 | Won |
| 1219 | 982 | 80% | 2019-04-09 | Lost |
| 1219 | 982 | 80% | 2019-04-09 | Lost |
| 1185 | 1051 | 68% | 2019-02-18 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1084.8 vs 1042.6 has a 56.05% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).