Radio X-MAS
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 36 (10 on the archive and 26 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 18
Defender wins (American / Partisan): 18
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 927 | 1065 | 31% | 2024-09-05 | Won |
| 989 | 1050 | 41% | 2022-10-25 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1023 | 51% | 2022-07-10 | Won |
| 1085 | 1014 | 60% | 2022-07-09 | Won |
| 1058 | 1028 | 54% | 2022-04-23 | Won |
| 1226 | 1043 | 74% | 2022-02-22 | Won |
| 904 | 1333 | 8% | 2021-10-01 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1016 | 67% | 2020-02-18 | Lost |
| 904 | 1058 | 29% | 2019-01-13 | Lost |
| 985 | 1333 | 12% | 2019-01-12 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1025.1 vs 1096.3 has a 39.89% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).