The Commissar's House
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 11
Attacker wins (German): 2
Defender wins (Russian): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1007 | 959 | 57% | 2024-03-16 | Lost |
| 1013 | 997 | 52% | 2023-06-30 | Lost |
| 989 | 989 | 50% | 2023-06-30 | Lost |
| 1013 | 946 | 60% | 2023-05-11 | Won |
| 805 | 1195 | 10% | 2022-08-12 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1088 | 48% | 2022-02-16 | Lost |
| 1149 | 1093 | 58% | 2021-06-06 | Lost |
| 971 | 937 | 55% | 2020-10-30 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1025 | 54% | 2019-06-01 | Lost |
| 922 | 1050 | 32% | 2019-05-21 | Won |
| 1008 | 1270 | 18% | 2019-03-17 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1000.6 vs 1049.9 has a 42.96% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).