The Commissar's House
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 11
Attacker wins (German): 2
Defender wins (Russian): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 885 | 957 | 40% | 2024-03-16 | Lost |
| 984 | 984 | 50% | 2023-06-30 | Lost |
| 989 | 989 | 50% | 2023-06-30 | Lost |
| 1063 | 966 | 64% | 2023-05-11 | Won |
| 1004 | 1237 | 21% | 2022-08-12 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1066 | 50% | 2022-02-16 | Lost |
| 1149 | 1042 | 65% | 2021-06-06 | Lost |
| 971 | 937 | 55% | 2020-10-30 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1025 | 54% | 2019-06-01 | Lost |
| 941 | 1059 | 34% | 2019-05-21 | Won |
| 945 | 1213 | 18% | 2019-03-17 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1004.8 vs 1043.2 has a 44.5% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).