Blood on the Tracks
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 48 (17 on the archive and 31 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 6
Defender wins (Russian): 41
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1057 | 1018 | 56% | 2025-11-09 | Lost |
| 1194 | 980 | 77% | 2023-12-17 | Lost |
| 1017 | 923 | 63% | 2022-10-16 | Lost |
| 986 | 1178 | 25% | 2022-08-12 | Lost |
| 1038 | 981 | 58% | 2022-02-03 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1012 | 53% | 2021-04-13 | Lost |
| 1176 | 1163 | 52% | 2021-02-16 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1103 | 55% | 2020-09-03 | Lost |
| 1117 | 969 | 70% | 2020-04-15 | Won |
| 917 | 1072 | 29% | 2020-03-26 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1139 | 37% | 2019-06-01 | Lost |
| 1158 | 971 | 75% | 2019-03-20 | Won |
| 1122 | 1022 | 64% | 2019-02-15 | Lost |
| 1122 | 1054 | 60% | 2019-02-15 | Lost |
| 1102 | 885 | 78% | 2019-01-23 | Lost |
| 755 | 826 | 40% | 2019-01-19 | Lost |
| 950 | 1255 | 15% | 2019-01-18 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1054.5 vs 1032.4 has a 53.17% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).