Blood on the Tracks
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 46 (16 on the archive and 30 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 6
Defender wins (Russian): 40
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1189 | 967 | 78% | 2023-12-17 | Lost |
| 1011 | 918 | 63% | 2022-10-16 | Lost |
| 967 | 1141 | 27% | 2022-08-12 | Lost |
| 1036 | 947 | 63% | 2022-02-03 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1022 | 50% | 2021-04-13 | Lost |
| 1176 | 1163 | 52% | 2021-02-16 | Lost |
| 1181 | 1110 | 60% | 2020-09-03 | Lost |
| 1117 | 969 | 70% | 2020-04-15 | Won |
| 922 | 1070 | 30% | 2020-03-26 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1130 | 38% | 2019-06-01 | Lost |
| 1133 | 971 | 72% | 2019-03-20 | Won |
| 1106 | 1024 | 62% | 2019-02-15 | Lost |
| 1106 | 1039 | 60% | 2019-02-15 | Lost |
| 1017 | 927 | 63% | 2019-01-23 | Lost |
| 754 | 826 | 40% | 2019-01-19 | Lost |
| 951 | 1254 | 15% | 2019-01-18 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1045.8 vs 1029.9 has a 52.29% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).