Blood on the Tracks
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 48 (17 on the archive and 31 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 6
Defender wins (Russian): 41
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1059 | 1032 | 54% | 2025-11-09 | Lost |
| 1189 | 952 | 80% | 2023-12-17 | Lost |
| 1015 | 890 | 67% | 2022-10-16 | Lost |
| 1099 | 1172 | 40% | 2022-08-12 | Lost |
| 1056 | 952 | 65% | 2022-02-03 | Lost |
| 1065 | 979 | 62% | 2021-04-13 | Lost |
| 1176 | 1163 | 52% | 2021-02-16 | Lost |
| 1054 | 1102 | 43% | 2020-09-03 | Lost |
| 1118 | 969 | 70% | 2020-04-15 | Won |
| 941 | 1040 | 36% | 2020-03-26 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1139 | 37% | 2019-06-01 | Lost |
| 1123 | 970 | 71% | 2019-03-20 | Won |
| 1120 | 1018 | 64% | 2019-02-15 | Lost |
| 1120 | 1056 | 59% | 2019-02-15 | Lost |
| 1102 | 884 | 78% | 2019-01-23 | Lost |
| 755 | 828 | 40% | 2019-01-19 | Lost |
| 988 | 1276 | 16% | 2019-01-18 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1060.4 vs 1024.8 has a 55.1% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).