Blood on the Tracks
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 46 (16 on the archive and 30 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 6
Defender wins (Russian): 40
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1186 | 974 | 77% | 2023-12-17 | Lost |
| 1011 | 900 | 65% | 2022-10-16 | Lost |
| 1277 | 1158 | 66% | 2022-08-12 | Lost |
| 985 | 948 | 55% | 2022-02-03 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1033 | 47% | 2021-04-13 | Lost |
| 1176 | 1163 | 52% | 2021-02-16 | Lost |
| 1181 | 1110 | 60% | 2020-09-03 | Lost |
| 1117 | 969 | 70% | 2020-04-15 | Won |
| 877 | 1118 | 20% | 2020-03-26 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1152 | 35% | 2019-06-01 | Lost |
| 1128 | 970 | 71% | 2019-03-20 | Won |
| 1107 | 1013 | 63% | 2019-02-15 | Lost |
| 1107 | 1039 | 60% | 2019-02-15 | Lost |
| 1017 | 998 | 53% | 2019-01-23 | Lost |
| 735 | 825 | 37% | 2019-01-19 | Lost |
| 909 | 1254 | 12% | 2019-01-18 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1054.3 vs 1039 has a 52.2% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).