Ma Deuce Delivers
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 96 (29 on the archive and 67 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 36
Defender wins (American): 59
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1070 | 982 | 62% | 2024-12-10 | Lost |
| 872 | 865 | 51% | 2022-07-14 | Lost |
| 1107 | 1136 | 46% | 2022-06-10 | Lost |
| 1070 | 1135 | 41% | 2022-06-10 | Lost |
| 998 | 982 | 52% | 2022-06-06 | Lost |
| 1129 | 1135 | 49% | 2022-05-10 | Won |
| 1045 | 1045 | 50% | 2022-03-25 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1077 | 45% | 2022-03-13 | Lost |
| 908 | 1080 | 27% | 2021-12-31 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1080 | 40% | 2021-10-30 | Won |
| 1059 | 879 | 74% | 2021-10-05 | Tied |
| 992 | 1038 | 43% | 2021-05-28 | Won |
| 872 | 884 | 48% | 2020-06-26 | Lost |
| 1057 | 1117 | 41% | 2019-11-09 | Lost |
| 991 | 1117 | 33% | 2019-10-18 | Lost |
| 1140 | 753 | 90% | 2019-09-04 | Won |
| 1021 | 1021 | 50% | 2019-06-16 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1216 | 26% | 2019-05-20 | Lost |
| 922 | 1226 | 15% | 2019-04-13 | Won |
| 1123 | 985 | 69% | 2019-04-13 | Won |
| 933 | 1226 | 16% | 2019-04-12 | Won |
| 1059 | 1143 | 38% | 2019-04-08 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1059 | 72% | 2019-04-07 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1059 | 48% | 2019-02-28 | Lost |
| 1342 | 1010 | 87% | 2019-02-02 | Won |
| 1052 | 934 | 66% | 2019-01-19 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1012 | 51% | 2019-01-19 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1151 | 37% | 2019-01-19 | Lost |
| 1123 | 919 | 76% | 2019-01-17 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1045.3 vs 1043.7 has a 50.24% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).