Ma Deuce Delivers
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 96 (29 on the archive and 67 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 36
Defender wins (American): 59
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1071 | 982 | 63% | 2024-12-10 | Lost |
| 871 | 865 | 51% | 2022-07-14 | Lost |
| 1108 | 1159 | 43% | 2022-06-10 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1136 | 40% | 2022-06-10 | Lost |
| 999 | 999 | 50% | 2022-06-06 | Lost |
| 1129 | 1136 | 49% | 2022-05-10 | Won |
| 1080 | 1070 | 51% | 2022-03-25 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1033 | 52% | 2022-03-13 | Lost |
| 908 | 1080 | 27% | 2021-12-31 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1080 | 40% | 2021-10-30 | Won |
| 968 | 879 | 63% | 2021-10-05 | Tied |
| 1019 | 967 | 57% | 2021-05-28 | Won |
| 871 | 884 | 48% | 2020-06-26 | Lost |
| 1057 | 1121 | 41% | 2019-11-09 | Lost |
| 969 | 1121 | 29% | 2019-10-18 | Lost |
| 1141 | 753 | 90% | 2019-09-04 | Won |
| 983 | 983 | 50% | 2019-06-16 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1216 | 26% | 2019-05-20 | Lost |
| 922 | 1223 | 15% | 2019-04-13 | Won |
| 1123 | 985 | 69% | 2019-04-13 | Won |
| 946 | 1227 | 17% | 2019-04-12 | Won |
| 968 | 1131 | 28% | 2019-04-08 | Lost |
| 1169 | 968 | 76% | 2019-04-07 | Lost |
| 969 | 1059 | 37% | 2019-02-28 | Lost |
| 1343 | 1010 | 87% | 2019-02-02 | Won |
| 1022 | 941 | 61% | 2019-01-19 | Lost |
| 1007 | 1012 | 49% | 2019-01-19 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1110 | 43% | 2019-01-19 | Lost |
| 1123 | 919 | 76% | 2019-01-17 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1033.7 vs 1036.2 has a 49.64% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).