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Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 29 (9 on the archive and 20 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 14
Defender wins (Polish): 15
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1054 | 1091 | 45% | 2026-06-21 | | Won |
| 1054 | 1133 | 39% | 2026-06-21 | | Won |
| 1435 | 1000 | 92% | 2024-07-11 | | Won |
| 755 | 1080 | 13% | 2023-07-20 | | Lost |
| 986 | 1134 | 30% | 2021-01-21 | | Lost |
| 1152 | 1000 | 71% | 2020-11-25 | | Won |
| 1133 | 1048 | 62% | 2020-11-20 | | Won |
| 1056 | 1120 | 41% | 2019-06-19 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1283 | 16% | 2019-04-20 | | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1069.4 vs 1098.8 has a 45.79% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).