Take It Back
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 45 (22 on the archive and 23 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American (USMC)): 20
Defender wins (Japanese): 25
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1040 | 1008 | 55% | 2026-06-19 | | Won |
| 970 | 1000 | 46% | 2023-01-04 | | Won |
| 970 | 1028 | 42% | 2022-10-25 | | Won |
| 970 | 989 | 47% | 2022-10-19 | | Lost |
| 1055 | 1143 | 38% | 2022-01-05 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 980 | 53% | 2021-09-15 | | Lost |
| 1019 | 1000 | 53% | 2021-08-30 | | Lost |
| 969 | 989 | 47% | 2021-06-26 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1017 | 48% | 2021-01-24 | | Lost |
| 1033 | 1054 | 47% | 2021-01-02 | | Lost |
| 1033 | 1054 | 47% | 2021-01-02 | | Lost |
| 1012 | 1102 | 37% | 2020-08-15 | | Lost |
| 1172 | 1057 | 66% | 2020-05-21 | | Lost |
| 1164 | 1045 | 66% | 2020-04-28 | | Lost |
| 1227 | 1000 | 79% | 2020-03-15 | | Won |
| 1140 | 1431 | 16% | 2020-02-07 | | Lost |
| 1007 | 1000 | 51% | 2020-01-31 | | Won |
| 1108 | 1000 | 65% | 2020-01-25 | | Won |
| 1017 | 1000 | 52% | 2019-12-29 | | Won |
| 1214 | 1000 | 77% | 2019-08-10 | | Lost |
| 1017 | 1000 | 52% | 2019-07-29 | | Won |
| 1017 | 1000 | 52% | 2019-07-29 | | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1052.5 vs 1040.8 has a 51.68% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).