Currie's Favor
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 87 (27 on the archive and 60 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Canadian): 44
Defender wins (German): 43
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 949 | 1000 | 43% | 2026-09-28 | | Lost |
| 992 | 1059 | 40% | 2026-07-29 | | Lost |
| 927 | 1000 | 40% | 2026-05-03 | | Lost |
| 1033 | 1000 | 55% | 2026-01-09 | | Lost |
| 1151 | 1151 | 50% | 2026-01-08 | | Won |
| 1000 | 998 | 50% | 2025-07-05 | | Won |
| 1149 | 1050 | 64% | 2025-05-16 | | Lost |
| 970 | 1198 | 21% | 2024-05-10 | | Lost |
| 1024 | 953 | 60% | 2024-03-12 | | Won |
| 962 | 1133 | 27% | 2023-07-14 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1004 | 49% | 2023-05-19 | | Won |
| 1000 | 985 | 52% | 2022-11-23 | | Lost |
| 1040 | 1219 | 26% | 2021-06-19 | | Won |
| 1064 | 1000 | 59% | 2021-04-01 | | Won |
| 1161 | 992 | 73% | 2021-03-01 | | Lost |
| 1133 | 1130 | 50% | 2020-10-23 | | Won |
| 1080 | 1000 | 61% | 2020-07-12 | | Lost |
| 932 | 1102 | 27% | 2020-06-13 | | Lost |
| 1242 | 953 | 84% | 2020-05-08 | | Won |
| 933 | 1183 | 19% | 2020-02-11 | | Lost |
| 1066 | 1000 | 59% | 2019-12-08 | | Won |
| 1006 | 1045 | 44% | 2019-12-01 | | Lost |
| 981 | 1009 | 46% | 2019-11-30 | | Won |
| 1219 | 991 | 79% | 2019-10-27 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1138 | 31% | 2019-10-25 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1014 | 48% | 2019-10-11 | | Lost |
| 919 | 1141 | 22% | 2019-10-08 | | Lost |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1034.6 vs 1053.6 has a 47.26% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).