Currie's Favor
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 77 (21 on the archive and 56 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Canadian): 41
Defender wins (German): 36
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 976 | 974 | 50% | 2025-07-05 | Won |
| 1098 | 1047 | 57% | 2025-05-16 | Lost |
| 970 | 1152 | 26% | 2024-05-10 | Lost |
| 1023 | 953 | 60% | 2024-03-12 | Won |
| 969 | 1078 | 35% | 2023-07-14 | Won |
| 1098 | 1109 | 48% | 2023-05-19 | Won |
| 1031 | 980 | 57% | 2022-11-23 | Lost |
| 1071 | 1340 | 18% | 2021-06-19 | Won |
| 1117 | 1042 | 61% | 2021-04-01 | Won |
| 1170 | 991 | 74% | 2021-03-01 | Lost |
| 1078 | 1162 | 38% | 2020-10-23 | Won |
| 1075 | 923 | 71% | 2020-07-12 | Lost |
| 933 | 1103 | 27% | 2020-06-13 | Lost |
| 998 | 1084 | 38% | 2020-02-11 | Lost |
| 1032 | 947 | 62% | 2019-12-08 | Won |
| 1020 | 1035 | 48% | 2019-12-01 | Lost |
| 958 | 1050 | 37% | 2019-11-30 | Won |
| 1340 | 991 | 88% | 2019-10-27 | Won |
| 1132 | 1138 | 49% | 2019-10-25 | Lost |
| 948 | 1023 | 39% | 2019-10-11 | Lost |
| 919 | 1151 | 21% | 2019-10-08 | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1045.5 vs 1060.6 has a 47.83% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).