Late for Chow
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 109 (35 on the archive and 74 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 48
Defender wins (American): 60
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (American): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 965 | 965 | 50% | 2026-03-19 | Won |
| 1253 | 1220 | 55% | 2025-11-26 | Won |
| 1003 | 933 | 60% | 2025-03-29 | Lost |
| 1054 | 1038 | 52% | 2024-06-08 | Won |
| 880 | 876 | 51% | 2023-12-29 | Lost |
| 1195 | 1031 | 72% | 2023-12-26 | Lost |
| 913 | 865 | 57% | 2023-01-05 | Won |
| 946 | 1175 | 21% | 2022-12-06 | Won |
| 1149 | 1023 | 67% | 2022-07-17 | Lost |
| 998 | 1108 | 35% | 2022-06-11 | Lost |
| 1431 | 925 | 95% | 2022-05-12 | Won |
| 982 | 1431 | 7% | 2022-05-07 | Lost |
| 1431 | 1018 | 92% | 2022-05-04 | Won |
| 983 | 1031 | 43% | 2022-02-28 | Lost |
| 999 | 999 | 50% | 2022-02-07 | Won |
| 983 | 1114 | 32% | 2022-01-10 | Won |
| 884 | 868 | 52% | 2021-03-03 | Lost |
| 1175 | 1173 | 50% | 2021-03-03 | Lost |
| 953 | 1264 | 14% | 2020-11-05 | Lost |
| 1019 | 1038 | 47% | 2020-10-09 | Won |
| 1146 | 933 | 77% | 2020-09-18 | Lost |
| 952 | 1110 | 29% | 2020-08-28 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1190 | 54% | 2020-07-26 | Won |
| 1085 | 1045 | 56% | 2020-06-28 | Won |
| 1136 | 1226 | 37% | 2020-06-23 | Won |
| 989 | 999 | 49% | 2020-05-07 | Lost |
| 920 | 998 | 39% | 2020-05-04 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1095 | 41% | 2020-03-29 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1026 | 48% | 2020-02-22 | Lost |
| 1167 | 1195 | 46% | 2019-12-16 | Lost |
| 1026 | 1015 | 52% | 2019-12-09 | Won |
| 1195 | 1131 | 59% | 2019-11-29 | Lost |
| 982 | 1218 | 20% | 2019-11-12 | Lost |
| 1183 | 1140 | 56% | 2019-11-07 | Lost |
| 983 | 1109 | 33% | 2019-10-11 | Won |
Attacking (15 wins) average ELOs: 1063.5 vs 1072.1 has a 48.76% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).