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Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 132 (10 on the archive and 122 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 83
Defender wins (Russian): 48
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Russian): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 923 | 935 | 48% | 2026-02-26 | Won |
| 952 | 952 | 50% | 2026-01-19 | Lost |
| 1016 | 1016 | 50% | 2024-04-14 | Won |
| 975 | 975 | 50% | 2023-06-25 | Lost |
| 911 | 1107 | 24% | 2020-08-17 | Lost |
| 971 | 1065 | 37% | 2020-06-13 | Lost |
| 971 | 989 | 47% | 2020-05-03 | Lost |
| 1222 | 1256 | 45% | 2020-03-20 | Lost |
| 1027 | 950 | 61% | 2020-02-29 | Won |
| 945 | 1256 | 14% | 2020-01-26 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 991.3 vs 1050.1 has a 41.62% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).