Strangers in a Strange Land
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 272 (15 on the archive and 257 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 143
Defender wins (German): 128
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (French): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 934 | 918 | 52% | 2026-02-05 | Lost |
| 967 | 845 | 67% | 2025-11-20 | Won |
| 1093 | 1093 | 50% | 2025-03-27 | Won |
| 1248 | 982 | 82% | 2024-07-23 | Won |
| 1185 | 1185 | 50% | 2023-11-14 | Lost |
| 948 | 991 | 44% | 2023-10-12 | Won |
| 1004 | 1102 | 36% | 2023-07-28 | Lost |
| 1243 | 1004 | 80% | 2022-09-23 | Lost |
| 917 | 985 | 40% | 2022-01-13 | Lost |
| 1239 | 1243 | 49% | 2021-12-29 | Lost |
| 985 | 985 | 50% | 2021-05-23 | Won |
| 1045 | 1122 | 39% | 2021-05-23 | Won |
| 952 | 1018 | 41% | 2021-03-06 | Lost |
| 1057 | 1035 | 53% | 2020-12-09 | Won |
| 1097 | 1056 | 56% | 2020-05-09 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1060.9 vs 1037.6 has a 53.35% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).