Audacity!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 39 (13 on the archive and 26 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 17
Defender wins (German): 22
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 989 | 1006 | 48% | 2023-11-03 | Lost |
| 1023 | 953 | 60% | 2023-05-16 | Won |
| 1100 | 1123 | 47% | 2022-08-16 | Won |
| 950 | 950 | 50% | 2022-06-20 | Won |
| 1030 | 950 | 61% | 2021-12-30 | Lost |
| 996 | 1047 | 43% | 2021-10-24 | Lost |
| 939 | 1065 | 33% | 2021-05-17 | Lost |
| 1033 | 1017 | 52% | 2021-02-23 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1042 | 63% | 2021-02-22 | Won |
| 1097 | 1198 | 36% | 2021-02-20 | Lost |
| 1059 | 923 | 69% | 2020-12-09 | Won |
| 1032 | 1040 | 49% | 2020-06-02 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1226 | 37% | 2020-05-03 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1040.2 vs 1041.5 has a 49.8% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).