Audacity!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 39 (13 on the archive and 26 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 17
Defender wins (German): 22
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1025 | 1001 | 53% | 2023-11-03 | Lost |
| 1030 | 948 | 62% | 2023-05-16 | Won |
| 1095 | 1219 | 33% | 2022-08-16 | Won |
| 896 | 928 | 45% | 2022-06-20 | Won |
| 1029 | 896 | 68% | 2021-12-30 | Lost |
| 1063 | 981 | 62% | 2021-10-24 | Lost |
| 967 | 1045 | 39% | 2021-05-17 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1027 | 51% | 2021-02-23 | Lost |
| 1137 | 1012 | 67% | 2021-02-22 | Won |
| 1097 | 1149 | 43% | 2021-02-20 | Lost |
| 1082 | 1063 | 53% | 2020-12-09 | Won |
| 1027 | 1050 | 47% | 2020-06-02 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1223 | 38% | 2020-05-03 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1047.6 vs 1041.7 has a 50.85% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).