Audacity!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 41 (15 on the archive and 26 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 19
Defender wins (German): 22
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1048 | 1032 | 52% | 2026-03-21 | Won |
| 1070 | 964 | 65% | 2025-07-19 | Won |
| 989 | 1224 | 21% | 2023-11-03 | Lost |
| 1023 | 953 | 60% | 2023-05-16 | Won |
| 1101 | 1083 | 53% | 2022-08-16 | Won |
| 964 | 988 | 47% | 2022-06-20 | Won |
| 964 | 964 | 50% | 2021-12-30 | Lost |
| 1097 | 955 | 69% | 2021-10-24 | Lost |
| 1001 | 963 | 55% | 2021-05-17 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1018 | 53% | 2021-02-23 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1031 | 65% | 2021-02-22 | Won |
| 1110 | 1161 | 43% | 2021-02-20 | Lost |
| 1030 | 924 | 65% | 2020-12-09 | Won |
| 1049 | 1043 | 51% | 2020-06-02 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1226 | 37% | 2020-05-03 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1050.5 vs 1035.3 has a 52.2% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).