Ultimate Treachery
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 28 (12 on the archive and 16 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 15
Defender wins (French): 13
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1228 | 1005 | 78% | 2025-08-24 | Won |
| 1283 | 1170 | 66% | 2024-06-14 | Lost |
| 1046 | 997 | 57% | 2024-04-01 | Lost |
| 1102 | 1138 | 45% | 2022-08-04 | Lost |
| 1102 | 889 | 77% | 2021-05-03 | Won |
| 991 | 1125 | 32% | 2020-10-27 | Won |
| 1216 | 1031 | 74% | 2020-10-10 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1097 | 68% | 2020-05-03 | Won |
| 1028 | 1176 | 30% | 2020-03-01 | Lost |
| 977 | 901 | 61% | 2020-03-01 | Lost |
| 1216 | 1031 | 74% | 2020-02-08 | Won |
| 1216 | 1031 | 74% | 2020-02-08 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1135.9 vs 1049.3 has a 62.22% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).