Ultimate Treachery
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 11
Attacker wins (Japanese): 5
Defender wins (French): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1264 | 1264 | 50% | 2024-06-14 | Lost |
| 1006 | 1037 | 46% | 2024-04-01 | Lost |
| 1187 | 1187 | 50% | 2022-08-04 | Lost |
| 1107 | 965 | 69% | 2021-05-03 | Won |
| 1132 | 1132 | 50% | 2020-10-27 | Won |
| 1209 | 1042 | 72% | 2020-10-10 | Lost |
| 1272 | 993 | 83% | 2020-05-03 | Won |
| 1014 | 1141 | 32% | 2020-03-01 | Lost |
| 980 | 998 | 47% | 2020-03-01 | Lost |
| 1209 | 1042 | 72% | 2020-02-08 | Won |
| 1209 | 1042 | 72% | 2020-02-08 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1144.5 vs 1076.6 has a 59.64% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).