Ultimate Treachery
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 28 (12 on the archive and 16 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 15
Defender wins (French): 13
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1226 | 1005 | 78% | 2025-08-24 | Won |
| 1274 | 1216 | 58% | 2024-06-14 | Lost |
| 1027 | 1015 | 52% | 2024-04-01 | Lost |
| 1148 | 1211 | 41% | 2022-08-04 | Lost |
| 1103 | 913 | 75% | 2021-05-03 | Won |
| 978 | 1113 | 31% | 2020-10-27 | Won |
| 1216 | 1030 | 74% | 2020-10-10 | Lost |
| 1254 | 978 | 83% | 2020-05-03 | Won |
| 1027 | 1135 | 35% | 2020-03-01 | Lost |
| 980 | 905 | 61% | 2020-03-01 | Lost |
| 1216 | 1030 | 74% | 2020-02-08 | Won |
| 1216 | 1030 | 74% | 2020-02-08 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1138.8 vs 1048.4 has a 62.71% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).