Chance d'une Affaire
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 23 (9 on the archive and 14 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 7
Defender wins (German): 16
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
952 | 984 | 45% | 2023-10-01 | Lost |
925 | 984 | 42% | 2022-08-07 | Won |
1109 | 1092 | 52% | 2022-07-26 | Lost |
1026 | 993 | 55% | 2022-02-04 | Lost |
1327 | 1026 | 85% | 2021-03-26 | Lost |
1159 | 1292 | 32% | 2021-01-01 | Lost |
876 | 1175 | 15% | 2020-06-06 | Lost |
991 | 1327 | 13% | 2020-05-31 | Lost |
1284 | 1016 | 82% | 2020-03-21 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1072.1 vs 1098.8 has a 46.17% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).