Chance d'une Affaire
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 28 (10 on the archive and 18 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 14
Defender wins (German): 14
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 993 | 980 | 52% | 2023-10-01 | Lost |
| 1260 | 980 | 83% | 2022-08-07 | Won |
| 1079 | 1100 | 47% | 2022-07-26 | Lost |
| 986 | 1057 | 40% | 2022-02-04 | Lost |
| 756 | 900 | 30% | 2021-12-28 | Lost |
| 1180 | 1028 | 71% | 2021-03-26 | Lost |
| 1173 | 1307 | 32% | 2021-01-01 | Lost |
| 878 | 1102 | 22% | 2020-06-06 | Lost |
| 1023 | 1180 | 29% | 2020-05-31 | Lost |
| 1217 | 1018 | 76% | 2020-03-21 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1054.5 vs 1065.2 has a 48.46% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).