Chance d'une Affaire
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 28 (10 on the archive and 18 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 14
Defender wins (German): 14
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 994 | 805 | 75% | 2023-10-01 | Lost |
| 1204 | 805 | 91% | 2022-08-07 | Won |
| 1183 | 1100 | 62% | 2022-07-26 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1013 | 52% | 2022-02-04 | Lost |
| 755 | 900 | 30% | 2021-12-28 | Lost |
| 1215 | 1007 | 77% | 2021-03-26 | Lost |
| 1173 | 1292 | 34% | 2021-01-01 | Lost |
| 878 | 1103 | 21% | 2020-06-06 | Lost |
| 975 | 1215 | 20% | 2020-05-31 | Lost |
| 1220 | 1031 | 75% | 2020-03-21 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1062.7 vs 1027.1 has a 55.11% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).