Chance d'une Affaire
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 28 (10 on the archive and 18 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 14
Defender wins (German): 14
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 995 | 764 | 79% | 2023-10-01 | Lost |
| 1158 | 764 | 91% | 2022-08-07 | Won |
| 1181 | 1098 | 62% | 2022-07-26 | Lost |
| 1033 | 1010 | 53% | 2022-02-04 | Lost |
| 738 | 910 | 27% | 2021-12-28 | Lost |
| 1242 | 1008 | 79% | 2021-03-26 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1320 | 30% | 2021-01-01 | Lost |
| 878 | 1110 | 21% | 2020-06-06 | Lost |
| 964 | 1242 | 17% | 2020-05-31 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1029 | 75% | 2020-03-21 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1058.2 vs 1025.5 has a 54.69% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).