Counterstroke at Stonne
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 33 (15 on the archive and 18 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 13
Defender wins (German): 20
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1087 | 1087 | 50% | 2025-03-23 | Lost |
| 997 | 1087 | 37% | 2025-03-23 | Lost |
| 1010 | 995 | 52% | 2025-03-01 | Lost |
| 946 | 1010 | 41% | 2023-11-26 | Lost |
| 999 | 1045 | 43% | 2022-12-11 | Lost |
| 1176 | 1098 | 61% | 2022-07-27 | Lost |
| 949 | 1005 | 42% | 2022-06-04 | Lost |
| 1006 | 1008 | 50% | 2021-05-15 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1113 | 50% | 2020-09-26 | Lost |
| 1116 | 1193 | 39% | 2020-06-16 | Lost |
| 993 | 1010 | 48% | 2020-05-18 | Won |
| 1146 | 1289 | 31% | 2020-05-16 | Lost |
| 1221 | 1137 | 62% | 2020-05-14 | Won |
| 1128 | 970 | 71% | 2020-01-31 | Won |
| 1118 | 877 | 80% | 2020-01-22 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1067 vs 1061.6 has a 50.78% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).