Counterstroke at Stonne
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 34 (15 on the archive and 19 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 13
Defender wins (German): 21
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1060 | 1060 | 50% | 2025-03-23 | Lost |
| 977 | 1060 | 38% | 2025-03-23 | Lost |
| 1038 | 993 | 56% | 2025-03-01 | Lost |
| 948 | 1038 | 37% | 2023-11-26 | Lost |
| 954 | 1097 | 31% | 2022-12-11 | Lost |
| 1202 | 1042 | 72% | 2022-07-27 | Lost |
| 1038 | 977 | 59% | 2022-06-04 | Lost |
| 1037 | 996 | 56% | 2021-05-15 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1125 | 50% | 2020-09-26 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1083 | 55% | 2020-06-16 | Lost |
| 993 | 1010 | 48% | 2020-05-18 | Won |
| 1208 | 1238 | 46% | 2020-05-16 | Lost |
| 1217 | 1134 | 62% | 2020-05-14 | Won |
| 1123 | 970 | 71% | 2020-01-31 | Won |
| 1052 | 934 | 66% | 2020-01-22 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1072.7 vs 1050.5 has a 53.2% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).