Counterstroke at Stonne
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 34 (15 on the archive and 19 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 13
Defender wins (German): 21
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1031 | 1031 | 50% | 2025-03-23 | Lost |
| 993 | 1031 | 45% | 2025-03-23 | Lost |
| 1133 | 993 | 69% | 2025-03-01 | Lost |
| 948 | 1133 | 26% | 2023-11-26 | Lost |
| 967 | 1077 | 35% | 2022-12-11 | Lost |
| 1192 | 1052 | 69% | 2022-07-27 | Lost |
| 952 | 1056 | 35% | 2022-06-04 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1007 | 54% | 2021-05-15 | Lost |
| 1159 | 1125 | 55% | 2020-09-26 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1063 | 58% | 2020-06-16 | Lost |
| 993 | 1010 | 48% | 2020-05-18 | Won |
| 1208 | 1220 | 48% | 2020-05-16 | Lost |
| 1218 | 1135 | 62% | 2020-05-14 | Won |
| 1123 | 970 | 71% | 2020-01-31 | Won |
| 1040 | 941 | 64% | 2020-01-22 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1074.1 vs 1056.3 has a 52.56% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).