Counterstroke at Stonne
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 92 (15 on the archive and 77 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 45
Defender wins (German): 47
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1020 | 1108 | 38% | 2025-03-23 | Lost |
| 978 | 1108 | 32% | 2025-03-23 | Lost |
| 1061 | 997 | 59% | 2025-03-01 | Lost |
| 954 | 1061 | 35% | 2023-11-26 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1034 | 47% | 2022-12-11 | Lost |
| 1173 | 1083 | 63% | 2022-07-27 | Lost |
| 999 | 1011 | 48% | 2022-06-04 | Lost |
| 971 | 1010 | 44% | 2021-05-15 | Lost |
| 1153 | 1153 | 50% | 2020-09-26 | Lost |
| 1118 | 1218 | 36% | 2020-06-16 | Lost |
| 993 | 1010 | 48% | 2020-05-18 | Won |
| 1141 | 1266 | 33% | 2020-05-16 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1135 | 62% | 2020-05-14 | Won |
| 1157 | 967 | 75% | 2020-01-31 | Won |
| 1097 | 903 | 75% | 2020-01-22 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1069.6 vs 1070.9 has a 49.81% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).