Prelude: Chabrehez
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 36 (12 on the archive and 24 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 20
Defender wins (Belgian): 15
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Belgian): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1046 | 997 | 57% | 2024-04-27 | Won |
| 948 | 973 | 46% | 2023-06-30 | Lost |
| 952 | 1051 | 36% | 2022-02-09 | Lost |
| 904 | 813 | 63% | 2021-06-27 | Lost |
| 1102 | 1138 | 45% | 2020-11-12 | Won |
| 1140 | 1005 | 69% | 2020-10-20 | Won |
| 1125 | 973 | 71% | 2020-08-09 | Won |
| 1019 | 1005 | 52% | 2020-06-13 | Won |
| 1164 | 970 | 75% | 2020-03-26 | Won |
| 1217 | 1018 | 76% | 2020-03-22 | Lost |
| 1123 | 1023 | 64% | 2020-02-15 | Lost |
| 1123 | 1055 | 60% | 2020-02-15 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1071.9 vs 1001.8 has a 59.96% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).