Prelude: Chabrehez
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 36 (12 on the archive and 24 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 20
Defender wins (Belgian): 15
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Belgian): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1021 | 1022 | 50% | 2024-04-27 | Won |
| 949 | 937 | 52% | 2023-06-30 | Lost |
| 967 | 1051 | 38% | 2022-02-09 | Lost |
| 918 | 815 | 64% | 2021-06-27 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1181 | 40% | 2020-11-12 | Won |
| 1152 | 1005 | 70% | 2020-10-20 | Won |
| 1131 | 937 | 75% | 2020-08-09 | Won |
| 1098 | 1006 | 63% | 2020-06-13 | Won |
| 1133 | 971 | 72% | 2020-03-26 | Won |
| 1219 | 1030 | 75% | 2020-03-22 | Lost |
| 1106 | 1024 | 62% | 2020-02-15 | Lost |
| 1106 | 1039 | 60% | 2020-02-15 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1075.8 vs 1001.5 has a 60.54% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).