Prelude: Chabrehez
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 36 (12 on the archive and 24 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 20
Defender wins (Belgian): 15
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Belgian): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1045 | 999 | 57% | 2024-04-27 | Won |
| 946 | 1010 | 41% | 2023-06-30 | Lost |
| 949 | 1051 | 36% | 2022-02-09 | Lost |
| 899 | 815 | 62% | 2021-06-27 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1188 | 39% | 2020-11-12 | Won |
| 1152 | 1005 | 70% | 2020-10-20 | Won |
| 1143 | 1010 | 68% | 2020-08-09 | Won |
| 1098 | 1006 | 63% | 2020-06-13 | Won |
| 1128 | 970 | 71% | 2020-03-26 | Won |
| 1221 | 1030 | 75% | 2020-03-22 | Lost |
| 1107 | 1013 | 63% | 2020-02-15 | Lost |
| 1107 | 1039 | 60% | 2020-02-15 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1075.4 vs 1011.3 has a 59.12% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).