Morning Massacre
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 56 (17 on the archive and 39 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 22
Defender wins (American): 34
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1187 | 1208 | 47% | 2025-01-22 | Lost |
| 1112 | 1041 | 60% | 2022-08-20 | Lost |
| 1256 | 1095 | 72% | 2022-03-18 | Lost |
| 740 | 1256 | 5% | 2022-02-28 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1226 | 26% | 2022-01-06 | Lost |
| 1057 | 1173 | 34% | 2021-12-18 | Won |
| 1135 | 1009 | 67% | 2021-08-14 | Won |
| 1135 | 1050 | 62% | 2021-08-04 | Won |
| 1141 | 1134 | 51% | 2021-06-05 | Won |
| 1153 | 1215 | 41% | 2021-01-23 | Won |
| 1051 | 956 | 63% | 2021-01-20 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1127 | 37% | 2021-01-19 | Won |
| 1163 | 1144 | 53% | 2021-01-12 | Won |
| 974 | 966 | 51% | 2020-12-03 | Lost |
| 1151 | 1215 | 41% | 2020-11-30 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1106 | 40% | 2020-10-28 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1104 | 40% | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1082.6 vs 1119.1 has a 44.76% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).