Morning Massacre
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 56 (17 on the archive and 39 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 22
Defender wins (American): 34
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1268 | 1162 | 65% | 2025-01-22 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1041 | 55% | 2022-08-20 | Lost |
| 1268 | 1086 | 74% | 2022-03-18 | Lost |
| 731 | 1268 | 4% | 2022-02-28 | Lost |
| 1013 | 1226 | 23% | 2022-01-06 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1173 | 34% | 2021-12-18 | Won |
| 1135 | 1020 | 66% | 2021-08-14 | Won |
| 1135 | 1050 | 62% | 2021-08-04 | Won |
| 1143 | 1133 | 51% | 2021-06-05 | Won |
| 1194 | 1215 | 47% | 2021-01-23 | Won |
| 1029 | 954 | 61% | 2021-01-20 | Lost |
| 1033 | 1127 | 37% | 2021-01-19 | Won |
| 1163 | 1144 | 53% | 2021-01-12 | Won |
| 950 | 966 | 48% | 2020-12-03 | Lost |
| 1151 | 1215 | 41% | 2020-11-30 | Lost |
| 1054 | 1122 | 40% | 2020-10-28 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1122 | 36% | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1083.4 vs 1119.1 has a 44.88% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).