Morning Massacre
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 56 (17 on the archive and 39 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 22
Defender wins (American): 34
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1253 | 1238 | 52% | 2025-01-22 | Lost |
| 1003 | 1041 | 45% | 2022-08-20 | Lost |
| 1225 | 1059 | 72% | 2022-03-18 | Lost |
| 746 | 1225 | 6% | 2022-02-28 | Lost |
| 998 | 1226 | 21% | 2022-01-06 | Lost |
| 1057 | 1172 | 34% | 2021-12-18 | Won |
| 1135 | 1030 | 65% | 2021-08-14 | Won |
| 1135 | 1050 | 62% | 2021-08-04 | Won |
| 1208 | 1208 | 50% | 2021-06-05 | Won |
| 1113 | 1215 | 36% | 2021-01-23 | Won |
| 968 | 953 | 52% | 2021-01-20 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1128 | 37% | 2021-01-19 | Won |
| 1163 | 1144 | 53% | 2021-01-12 | Won |
| 964 | 967 | 50% | 2020-12-03 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1215 | 41% | 2020-11-30 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1120 | 41% | 2020-10-28 | Lost |
| 1017 | 1091 | 40% | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1072.4 vs 1122.5 has a 42.85% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).