Morning Massacre
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 17
Attacker wins (German): 7
Defender wins (American): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1241 | 20% | 2025-01-22 | | Lost |
| 1037 | 1000 | 55% | 2022-08-20 | | Lost |
| 1217 | 1059 | 71% | 2022-03-18 | | Lost |
| 734 | 1217 | 6% | 2022-02-28 | | Lost |
| 976 | 1226 | 19% | 2022-01-06 | | Lost |
| 1057 | 1172 | 34% | 2021-12-18 | | Won |
| 1132 | 1030 | 64% | 2021-08-14 | | Won |
| 1132 | 1075 | 58% | 2021-08-04 | | Won |
| 1196 | 1000 | 76% | 2021-06-05 | | Won |
| 1140 | 1215 | 39% | 2021-01-23 | | Won |
| 1055 | 1000 | 58% | 2021-01-20 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1128 | 32% | 2021-01-19 | | Won |
| 1164 | 1000 | 72% | 2021-01-12 | | Won |
| 966 | 967 | 50% | 2020-12-03 | | Lost |
| 1152 | 1215 | 41% | 2020-11-30 | | Lost |
| 1056 | 1120 | 41% | 2020-10-28 | | Lost |
| 1018 | 1086 | 40% | | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1060.7 vs 1103 has a 43.94% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).