Morning Massacre
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 56 (17 on the archive and 39 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 22
Defender wins (American): 34
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1253 | 1180 | 60% | 2025-01-22 | Lost |
| 1089 | 1041 | 57% | 2022-08-20 | Lost |
| 1256 | 1087 | 73% | 2022-03-18 | Lost |
| 756 | 1256 | 5% | 2022-02-28 | Lost |
| 983 | 1226 | 20% | 2022-01-06 | Lost |
| 1057 | 1173 | 34% | 2021-12-18 | Won |
| 1135 | 1020 | 66% | 2021-08-14 | Won |
| 1135 | 1050 | 62% | 2021-08-04 | Won |
| 1200 | 1176 | 53% | 2021-06-05 | Won |
| 1170 | 1215 | 44% | 2021-01-23 | Won |
| 1024 | 955 | 60% | 2021-01-20 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1128 | 37% | 2021-01-19 | Won |
| 1163 | 1144 | 53% | 2021-01-12 | Won |
| 1000 | 966 | 55% | 2020-12-03 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1215 | 41% | 2020-11-30 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1123 | 40% | 2020-10-28 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1032 | 48% | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1087.1 vs 1116.9 has a 45.73% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).