Trap by Mishap
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 47 (15 on the archive and 32 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 27
Defender wins (Finnish/Swedish): 20
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1077 | 1040 | 55% | 2025-09-08 | Won |
| 1067 | 1071 | 49% | 2025-04-04 | Won |
| 1071 | 1099 | 46% | 2022-05-20 | Won |
| 1174 | 1143 | 54% | 2022-04-10 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2022-03-27 | Lost |
| 1019 | 966 | 58% | 2021-09-21 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1087 | 38% | 2021-09-13 | Lost |
| 941 | 894 | 57% | 2021-09-10 | Lost |
| 941 | 1085 | 30% | 2021-09-10 | Lost |
| 1145 | 1099 | 57% | 2021-08-06 | Lost |
| 1001 | 1188 | 25% | 2021-07-21 | Won |
| 1279 | 1086 | 75% | 2021-03-27 | Won |
| 1177 | 1135 | 56% | 2021-03-27 | Won |
| 1190 | 1135 | 58% | 2021-03-27 | Won |
| 1038 | 992 | 57% | 2020-12-12 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1080.5 vs 1073.9 has a 50.96% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).