Trap by Mishap
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 47 (15 on the archive and 32 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 27
Defender wins (Finnish/Swedish): 20
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1058 | 1044 | 52% | 2025-09-08 | Won |
| 1089 | 1082 | 51% | 2025-04-04 | Won |
| 1082 | 1055 | 54% | 2022-05-20 | Won |
| 1163 | 1143 | 53% | 2022-04-10 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2022-03-27 | Lost |
| 1013 | 946 | 60% | 2021-09-21 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1074 | 41% | 2021-09-13 | Lost |
| 941 | 895 | 57% | 2021-09-10 | Lost |
| 941 | 1122 | 26% | 2021-09-10 | Lost |
| 1143 | 1055 | 62% | 2021-08-06 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1180 | 27% | 2021-07-21 | Won |
| 1271 | 1084 | 75% | 2021-03-27 | Won |
| 1187 | 1135 | 57% | 2021-03-27 | Won |
| 1191 | 1135 | 58% | 2021-03-27 | Won |
| 996 | 1000 | 49% | 2020-12-12 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1079.1 vs 1069.2 has a 51.42% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).