Trap by Mishap
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 44 (12 on the archive and 32 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 18
Defender wins (Finnish/Swedish): 26
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1106 | 1039 | 60% | 2022-05-20 | Won |
| 1153 | 1153 | 50% | 2022-04-10 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2022-03-27 | Lost |
| 1009 | 924 | 62% | 2021-09-21 | Lost |
| 951 | 1073 | 33% | 2021-09-13 | Lost |
| 872 | 894 | 47% | 2021-09-10 | Lost |
| 872 | 1060 | 25% | 2021-09-10 | Lost |
| 1144 | 1039 | 65% | 2021-08-06 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1233 | 24% | 2021-07-21 | Won |
| 1232 | 1095 | 69% | 2021-03-27 | Won |
| 1204 | 1044 | 72% | 2021-03-27 | Won |
| 1011 | 999 | 52% | 2020-12-12 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1056.2 vs 1053.4 has a 50.4% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).