Eight Million Bayonets
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 37 (19 on the archive and 18 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 28
Defender wins (Greek): 8
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Italian): 1
Defender wins (Greek): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1063 | 966 | 64% | 2025-09-13 | Won |
| 950 | 962 | 48% | 2024-11-10 | Won |
| 913 | 1092 | 26% | 2024-10-11 | Won |
| 1020 | 1000 | 53% | 2022-10-07 | Won |
| 1045 | 973 | 60% | 2021-05-24 | Lost |
| 1232 | 1045 | 75% | 2021-05-10 | Won |
| 1218 | 931 | 84% | 2021-04-21 | Won |
| 998 | 1069 | 40% | 2021-03-25 | Lost |
| 998 | 1069 | 40% | 2021-03-25 | Lost |
| 1125 | 1173 | 43% | 2021-03-07 | Won |
| 1013 | 1059 | 43% | 2021-02-13 | Won |
| 1073 | 980 | 63% | 2021-02-11 | Won |
| 1131 | 1045 | 62% | 2020-12-06 | Won |
| 980 | 919 | 59% | 2020-12-04 | Won |
| 1027 | 1000 | 54% | 2020-11-18 | Won |
| 1117 | 1125 | 49% | 2020-11-06 | Won |
| 902 | 993 | 37% | 2020-11-03 | Won |
| 1113 | 993 | 67% | 2020-11-03 | Won |
| 1252 | 1017 | 79% | 2020-10-17 | Lost |
Attacking (15 wins) average ELOs: 1061.6 vs 1021.6 has a 55.72% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).