Eight Million Bayonets
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 31 (16 on the archive and 15 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 23
Defender wins (Greek): 8
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1003 | 1087 | 38% | 2022-10-07 | Won |
1017 | 1005 | 52% | 2021-05-24 | Lost |
904 | 1017 | 34% | 2021-05-10 | Won |
1284 | 1311 | 46% | 2021-04-21 | Won |
898 | 1104 | 23% | 2021-03-25 | Lost |
898 | 1104 | 23% | 2021-03-25 | Lost |
1142 | 1142 | 50% | 2021-03-07 | Won |
984 | 1108 | 33% | 2021-02-13 | Won |
1062 | 1127 | 41% | 2021-02-11 | Won |
1144 | 1017 | 68% | 2020-12-06 | Won |
1008 | 780 | 79% | 2020-12-04 | Won |
1000 | 1168 | 28% | 2020-11-18 | Won |
1008 | 1138 | 32% | 2020-11-06 | Won |
899 | 948 | 43% | 2020-11-03 | Won |
1198 | 948 | 81% | 2020-11-03 | Won |
1307 | 1016 | 84% | 2020-10-17 | Lost |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1047.3 vs 1063.8 has a 47.63% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).