Eight Million Bayonets
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 37 (19 on the archive and 19 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 28
Defender wins (Greek): 9
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Italian): 1
Defender wins (Greek): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1091 | 37% | 2026-09-19 | | Lost |
| 1040 | 932 | 65% | 2025-09-13 | D | Won |
| 1000 | 905 | 63% | 2024-11-10 | | Won |
| 1154 | 1008 | 70% | 2024-10-11 | | Won |
| 1020 | 1065 | 44% | 2022-10-07 | | Won |
| 1000 | 982 | 53% | 2021-05-24 | | Lost |
| 1218 | 916 | 85% | 2021-04-21 | | Won |
| 992 | 1134 | 31% | 2021-03-25 | | Lost |
| 992 | 1134 | 31% | 2021-03-25 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1167 | 28% | 2021-03-07 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1108 | 35% | 2021-02-13 | | Won |
| 1183 | 933 | 81% | 2021-02-11 | | Won |
| 1064 | 1000 | 59% | 2020-12-06 | | Won |
| 980 | 967 | 52% | 2020-12-04 | | Won |
| 999 | 963 | 55% | 2020-11-18 | | Won |
| 1147 | 1145 | 50% | 2020-11-06 | | Won |
| 1000 | 952 | 57% | 2020-11-03 | | Won |
| 1133 | 952 | 74% | 2020-11-03 | | Won |
| 1219 | 1018 | 76% | 2020-10-17 | | Lost |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1060.1 vs 1019.6 has a 55.8% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).