Eight Million Bayonets
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 36 (18 on the archive and 19 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 28
Defender wins (Greek): 8
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Italian): 1
Defender wins (Greek): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1051 | 944 | 65% | 2025-09-13 | D | Won |
| 1000 | 943 | 58% | 2024-11-10 | | Won |
| 1156 | 952 | 76% | 2024-10-11 | | Won |
| 1020 | 1063 | 44% | 2022-10-07 | | Won |
| 1000 | 982 | 53% | 2021-05-24 | | Lost |
| 1218 | 931 | 84% | 2021-04-21 | | Won |
| 992 | 1075 | 38% | 2021-03-25 | | Lost |
| 992 | 1075 | 38% | 2021-03-25 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1100 | 36% | 2021-03-07 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1080 | 39% | 2021-02-13 | | Won |
| 1167 | 939 | 79% | 2021-02-11 | | Won |
| 1099 | 1000 | 64% | 2020-12-06 | | Won |
| 980 | 943 | 55% | 2020-12-04 | | Won |
| 999 | 976 | 53% | 2020-11-18 | | Won |
| 1147 | 1134 | 52% | 2020-11-06 | | Won |
| 1000 | 975 | 54% | 2020-11-03 | | Won |
| 1123 | 975 | 70% | 2020-11-03 | | Won |
| 1219 | 1018 | 76% | 2020-10-17 | | Lost |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1064.6 vs 1005.8 has a 58.38% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).