Eight Million Bayonets
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 37 (19 on the archive and 18 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 28
Defender wins (Greek): 8
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Italian): 1
Defender wins (Greek): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 999 | 960 | 56% | 2025-09-13 | Won |
| 956 | 953 | 50% | 2024-11-10 | Won |
| 997 | 1002 | 49% | 2024-10-11 | Won |
| 991 | 1051 | 41% | 2022-10-07 | Won |
| 951 | 980 | 46% | 2021-05-24 | Lost |
| 1176 | 951 | 79% | 2021-05-10 | Won |
| 1221 | 1342 | 33% | 2021-04-21 | Won |
| 893 | 1183 | 16% | 2021-03-25 | Lost |
| 893 | 1183 | 16% | 2021-03-25 | Lost |
| 1115 | 1123 | 49% | 2021-03-07 | Won |
| 1013 | 1050 | 45% | 2021-02-13 | Won |
| 1075 | 1041 | 55% | 2021-02-11 | Won |
| 1109 | 951 | 71% | 2020-12-06 | Won |
| 1008 | 917 | 63% | 2020-12-04 | Won |
| 1014 | 1044 | 46% | 2020-11-18 | Won |
| 1055 | 1124 | 40% | 2020-11-06 | Won |
| 903 | 973 | 40% | 2020-11-03 | Won |
| 1171 | 973 | 76% | 2020-11-03 | Won |
| 1333 | 1030 | 85% | 2020-10-17 | Lost |
Attacking (15 wins) average ELOs: 1045.9 vs 1043.7 has a 50.32% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).