Eight Million Bayonets
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 38 (19 on the archive and 19 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 29
Defender wins (Greek): 8
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Italian): 1
Defender wins (Greek): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1068 | 966 | 64% | 2025-09-13 | Won |
| 969 | 909 | 59% | 2024-11-10 | Won |
| 1002 | 983 | 53% | 2024-10-11 | Won |
| 1020 | 969 | 57% | 2022-10-07 | Won |
| 986 | 959 | 54% | 2021-05-24 | Lost |
| 1212 | 986 | 79% | 2021-05-10 | Won |
| 1218 | 931 | 84% | 2021-04-21 | Won |
| 1005 | 1083 | 39% | 2021-03-25 | Lost |
| 1005 | 1083 | 39% | 2021-03-25 | Lost |
| 1125 | 1159 | 45% | 2021-03-07 | Won |
| 1013 | 1040 | 46% | 2021-02-13 | Won |
| 1085 | 987 | 64% | 2021-02-11 | Won |
| 1131 | 986 | 70% | 2020-12-06 | Won |
| 980 | 888 | 63% | 2020-12-04 | Won |
| 1027 | 999 | 54% | 2020-11-18 | Won |
| 1128 | 1129 | 50% | 2020-11-06 | Won |
| 902 | 973 | 40% | 2020-11-03 | Won |
| 1123 | 973 | 70% | 2020-11-03 | Won |
| 1238 | 1018 | 78% | 2020-10-17 | Lost |
Attacking (15 wins) average ELOs: 1065.1 vs 1001.1 has a 59.11% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).