Eight Million Bayonets
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 34 (18 on the archive and 16 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 26
Defender wins (Greek): 8
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 937 | 964 | 46% | 2024-11-10 | Won |
| 999 | 1011 | 48% | 2024-10-11 | Won |
| 992 | 1061 | 40% | 2022-10-07 | Won |
| 1061 | 1025 | 55% | 2021-05-24 | Lost |
| 1209 | 1061 | 70% | 2021-05-10 | Won |
| 1219 | 1339 | 33% | 2021-04-21 | Won |
| 873 | 1218 | 12% | 2021-03-25 | Lost |
| 873 | 1218 | 12% | 2021-03-25 | Lost |
| 1153 | 1153 | 50% | 2021-03-07 | Won |
| 984 | 1097 | 34% | 2021-02-13 | Won |
| 1009 | 1137 | 32% | 2021-02-11 | Won |
| 1203 | 1061 | 69% | 2020-12-06 | Won |
| 1007 | 937 | 60% | 2020-12-04 | Won |
| 1015 | 951 | 59% | 2020-11-18 | Won |
| 1039 | 1126 | 38% | 2020-11-06 | Won |
| 1157 | 1028 | 68% | 2020-11-03 | Won |
| 900 | 1028 | 32% | 2020-11-03 | Won |
| 1309 | 1028 | 83% | 2020-10-17 | Lost |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1052.2 vs 1080.2 has a 45.98% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).