Mountain Marines
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 35 (13 on the archive and 22 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 17
Defender wins (Italian/German): 18
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 940 | 922 | 53% | 2026-07-19 | | Won |
| 1087 | 1000 | 62% | 2025-11-15 | | Won |
| 905 | 1000 | 37% | 2025-08-24 | | Lost |
| 1182 | 1000 | 74% | 2025-02-09 | | Won |
| 1000 | 963 | 55% | 2024-11-11 | | Won |
| 982 | 1156 | 27% | 2024-10-13 | | Lost |
| 1178 | 1068 | 65% | 2024-06-06 | | Lost |
| 967 | 980 | 48% | 2021-02-14 | | Lost |
| 1134 | 986 | 70% | 2020-11-26 | | Won |
| 1133 | 1052 | 61% | 2020-11-21 | | Won |
| 1018 | 1218 | 24% | 2020-11-16 | | Lost |
| 1120 | 1019 | 64% | 2020-10-30 | | Lost |
| 1120 | 1056 | 59% | 2020-10-30 | | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1058.9 vs 1032.3 has a 53.82% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).