Totensonntag
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 91 (35 on the archive and 56 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Polish): 50
Defender wins (German): 38
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Polish): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1037 | 1062 | 46% | 2025-02-09 | Won |
| 909 | 969 | 41% | 2025-01-25 | Won |
| 1025 | 967 | 58% | 2024-07-26 | Won |
| 969 | 1062 | 37% | 2024-04-12 | Lost |
| 1080 | 954 | 67% | 2024-02-19 | Lost |
| 1213 | 1324 | 35% | 2023-10-02 | Lost |
| 914 | 1053 | 31% | 2023-09-10 | Won |
| 914 | 1053 | 31% | 2023-09-10 | Won |
| 1053 | 914 | 69% | 2023-09-02 | Lost |
| 1053 | 914 | 69% | 2023-09-02 | Lost |
| 969 | 1056 | 38% | 2023-04-11 | Won |
| 1152 | 1152 | 50% | 2023-03-22 | Won |
| 946 | 1010 | 41% | 2023-03-08 | Won |
| 987 | 863 | 67% | 2023-01-28 | Won |
| 987 | 863 | 67% | 2023-01-28 | Won |
| 740 | 1045 | 15% | 2023-01-12 | Lost |
| 1157 | 1010 | 70% | 2023-01-05 | Lost |
| 1032 | 996 | 55% | 2022-10-20 | Lost |
| 1431 | 1062 | 89% | 2022-10-09 | Won |
| 1018 | 1431 | 8% | 2022-10-06 | Lost |
| 879 | 1010 | 32% | 2022-08-24 | Tied |
| 975 | 1035 | 41% | 2022-08-24 | Won |
| 964 | 952 | 52% | 2022-02-17 | Lost |
| 870 | 1073 | 24% | 2022-02-08 | Won |
| 879 | 1010 | 32% | 2021-09-23 | Tied |
| 1431 | 1427 | 51% | 2021-02-22 | Won |
| 1183 | 995 | 75% | 2021-01-29 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1088 | 48% | 2021-01-22 | Lost |
| 970 | 1110 | 31% | 2020-12-21 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1039 | 62% | 2020-12-06 | Won |
| 1062 | 1028 | 55% | 2020-12-04 | Won |
| 1254 | 1213 | 56% | 2020-11-29 | Won |
| 1014 | 852 | 72% | 2020-11-19 | Won |
| 1114 | 1110 | 51% | 2020-10-29 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1025 | 50% | 2020-10-18 | Lost |
Attacking (18 wins) average ELOs: 1040.3 vs 1049.3 has a 48.7% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).