Totensonntag
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 68 (26 on the archive and 42 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Polish): 30
Defender wins (German): 35
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Polish): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1047 | 974 | 60% | 2024-02-19 | Lost |
991 | 982 | 51% | 2023-09-10 | Won |
982 | 991 | 49% | 2023-09-02 | Lost |
1091 | 1057 | 55% | 2023-04-11 | Won |
1131 | 1131 | 50% | 2023-03-22 | Won |
923 | 1093 | 27% | 2023-03-08 | Won |
1003 | 865 | 69% | 2023-01-28 | Won |
1003 | 865 | 69% | 2023-01-28 | Won |
936 | 1093 | 29% | 2023-01-05 | Lost |
1168 | 1000 | 72% | 2022-10-20 | Lost |
1427 | 1056 | 89% | 2022-10-09 | Won |
1018 | 1427 | 9% | 2022-10-06 | Lost |
1000 | 1038 | 45% | 2022-08-24 | Won |
881 | 1093 | 23% | 2022-08-24 | Tied |
964 | 956 | 51% | 2022-02-17 | Lost |
942 | 1055 | 34% | 2022-02-08 | Won |
881 | 1093 | 23% | 2021-09-23 | Tied |
1427 | 1427 | 50% | 2021-02-22 | Won |
1181 | 1041 | 69% | 2021-01-29 | Lost |
1008 | 1008 | 50% | 2021-01-22 | Lost |
1032 | 1175 | 31% | 2020-12-21 | Lost |
1072 | 1034 | 55% | 2020-12-06 | Won |
973 | 1038 | 41% | 2020-12-04 | Won |
1016 | 881 | 69% | 2020-11-19 | Won |
1128 | 1109 | 53% | 2020-10-29 | Lost |
1038 | 1026 | 52% | 2020-10-18 | Lost |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1048.6 vs 1058 has a 48.64% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).