Totensonntag
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 97 (37 on the archive and 60 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Polish): 53
Defender wins (German): 41
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Polish): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1050 | 1050 | 50% | 2025-11-04 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1048 | 49% | 2025-02-09 | Won |
| 1008 | 1019 | 48% | 2025-01-25 | Won |
| 1034 | 934 | 64% | 2024-07-26 | Won |
| 970 | 1065 | 37% | 2024-04-12 | Lost |
| 1080 | 954 | 67% | 2024-02-19 | Lost |
| 1176 | 1342 | 28% | 2023-10-02 | Lost |
| 1002 | 961 | 56% | 2023-09-10 | Won |
| 1002 | 961 | 56% | 2023-09-10 | Won |
| 961 | 1002 | 44% | 2023-09-02 | Lost |
| 961 | 1002 | 44% | 2023-09-02 | Lost |
| 970 | 1056 | 38% | 2023-04-11 | Won |
| 1139 | 1139 | 50% | 2023-03-22 | Won |
| 948 | 1043 | 37% | 2023-03-08 | Won |
| 1006 | 864 | 69% | 2023-01-28 | Won |
| 1006 | 864 | 69% | 2023-01-28 | Won |
| 756 | 1043 | 16% | 2023-01-12 | Lost |
| 1245 | 1043 | 76% | 2023-01-05 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1027 | 46% | 2022-10-20 | Lost |
| 1431 | 1064 | 89% | 2022-10-09 | Won |
| 1018 | 1431 | 8% | 2022-10-06 | Lost |
| 879 | 1043 | 28% | 2022-08-24 | Tied |
| 991 | 1036 | 44% | 2022-08-24 | Won |
| 1344 | 984 | 89% | 2022-06-17 | Won |
| 964 | 949 | 52% | 2022-02-17 | Lost |
| 941 | 1082 | 31% | 2022-02-08 | Won |
| 879 | 1043 | 28% | 2021-09-23 | Tied |
| 1431 | 1427 | 51% | 2021-02-22 | Won |
| 1198 | 1028 | 73% | 2021-01-29 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1066 | 50% | 2021-01-22 | Lost |
| 888 | 1102 | 23% | 2020-12-21 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1057 | 58% | 2020-12-06 | Won |
| 1048 | 1030 | 53% | 2020-12-04 | Won |
| 1276 | 1176 | 64% | 2020-11-29 | Won |
| 1013 | 875 | 69% | 2020-11-19 | Won |
| 1102 | 1134 | 45% | 2020-10-29 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1015 | 52% | 2020-10-18 | Lost |
Attacking (19 wins) average ELOs: 1053 vs 1052.9 has a 50.01% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).