Cocktails for Molotov
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 25 (13 on the archive and 12 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 11
Defender wins (Polish): 12
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1093 | 1084 | 51% | 2025-04-05 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1047 | 49% | 2025-02-23 | Won |
| 920 | 1075 | 29% | 2023-12-17 | Lost |
| 955 | 1204 | 19% | 2023-05-27 | Lost |
| 948 | 1021 | 40% | 2023-03-17 | Lost |
| 984 | 997 | 48% | 2022-12-19 | Tied |
| 780 | 1013 | 21% | 2022-10-14 | Lost |
| 879 | 1021 | 31% | 2022-08-22 | Tied |
| 1089 | 1089 | 50% | 2021-04-04 | Won |
| 1014 | 875 | 69% | 2021-03-05 | Won |
| 999 | 967 | 55% | 2021-01-19 | Won |
| 978 | 1100 | 33% | 2021-01-10 | Lost |
| 1103 | 906 | 76% | 2020-12-07 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 983 vs 1030.7 has a 43.18% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).