Cocktails for Molotov
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 28 (14 on the archive and 14 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 13
Defender wins (Polish): 12
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 0
Defender wins (Polish): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1026 | 1026 | 50% | 2026-01-20 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1031 | 50% | 2025-04-05 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1029 | 51% | 2025-02-23 | Won |
| 909 | 1077 | 28% | 2023-12-17 | Lost |
| 955 | 1076 | 33% | 2023-05-27 | Lost |
| 948 | 1124 | 27% | 2023-03-17 | Lost |
| 1012 | 971 | 56% | 2022-12-19 | Tied |
| 780 | 997 | 22% | 2022-10-14 | Lost |
| 879 | 1124 | 20% | 2022-08-22 | Tied |
| 1066 | 1066 | 50% | 2021-04-04 | Won |
| 1013 | 875 | 69% | 2021-03-05 | Won |
| 999 | 967 | 55% | 2021-01-19 | Won |
| 982 | 1146 | 28% | 2021-01-10 | Lost |
| 1102 | 909 | 75% | 2020-12-07 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 981.5 vs 1029.9 has a 43.09% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).