Cocktails for Molotov
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 27 (14 on the archive and 13 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 12
Defender wins (Polish): 12
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 0
Defender wins (Polish): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1026 | 1026 | 50% | 2026-01-20 | Lost |
| 1040 | 1040 | 50% | 2025-04-05 | Lost |
| 1038 | 975 | 59% | 2025-02-23 | Won |
| 909 | 1066 | 29% | 2023-12-17 | Lost |
| 955 | 1178 | 22% | 2023-05-27 | Lost |
| 948 | 900 | 57% | 2023-03-17 | Lost |
| 979 | 984 | 49% | 2022-12-19 | Tied |
| 780 | 999 | 22% | 2022-10-14 | Lost |
| 879 | 900 | 47% | 2022-08-22 | Tied |
| 1066 | 1066 | 50% | 2021-04-04 | Won |
| 1013 | 875 | 69% | 2021-03-05 | Won |
| 999 | 967 | 55% | 2021-01-19 | Won |
| 982 | 1135 | 29% | 2021-01-10 | Lost |
| 1102 | 904 | 76% | 2020-12-07 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 979.7 vs 1001.1 has a 46.93% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).