Bidermann's Escape
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 36 (11 on the archive and 25 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 13
Defender wins (Russian): 23
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 905 | 1000 | 37% | 2026-07-26 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1035 | 45% | 2024-11-23 | | Lost |
| 977 | 1000 | 47% | 2024-05-29 | | Won |
| 1185 | 1000 | 74% | 2024-04-28 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1049 | 43% | 2024-04-14 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1040 | 44% | 2023-11-23 | | Lost |
| 1209 | 1000 | 77% | 2023-01-02 | | Won |
| 1059 | 1045 | 52% | 2022-12-18 | | Lost |
| 1343 | 1000 | 88% | 2021-06-25 | | Lost |
| 985 | 1150 | 28% | 2021-01-31 | | Lost |
| 1060 | 1147 | 38% | 2020-11-20 | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1065.7 vs 1042.4 has a 53.36% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).