Absorbing The Thrust
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 37 (14 on the archive and 24 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 18
Defender wins (German): 19
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (French): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1149 | 912 | 80% | 2025-11-01 | | Won |
| 1138 | 808 | 87% | 2025-10-18 | | Won |
| 1000 | 978 | 53% | 2025-10-17 | | Won |
| 1019 | 1000 | 53% | 2025-10-17 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1055 | 42% | 2025-05-16 | | Lost |
| 1008 | 1000 | 51% | 2025-05-16 | A | Won |
| 1173 | 1000 | 73% | 2024-03-13 | | Won |
| 1024 | 901 | 67% | 2023-11-18 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1173 | 27% | 2023-06-10 | | Lost |
| 1002 | 1000 | 50% | 2022-04-23 | | Won |
| 1174 | 1000 | 73% | 2021-12-27 | | Won |
| 1026 | 1033 | 49% | 2021-02-04 | | Lost |
| 1094 | 1106 | 48% | 2021-01-06 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1196 | 24% | 2020-12-28 | | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1057.6 vs 1011.6 has a 56.59% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).