Absorbing The Thrust
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 36 (14 on the archive and 23 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 18
Defender wins (German): 18
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (French): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1159 | 912 | 81% | 2025-11-01 | | Won |
| 1214 | 786 | 92% | 2025-10-18 | | Won |
| 1000 | 996 | 51% | 2025-10-17 | | Won |
| 1019 | 1000 | 53% | 2025-10-17 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1066 | 41% | 2025-05-16 | | Lost |
| 1055 | 1000 | 58% | 2025-05-16 | A | Won |
| 1173 | 1000 | 73% | 2024-03-13 | | Won |
| 1024 | 901 | 67% | 2023-11-18 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1173 | 27% | 2023-06-10 | | Lost |
| 969 | 1000 | 46% | 2022-04-23 | | Won |
| 1170 | 1000 | 73% | 2021-12-27 | | Won |
| 974 | 1070 | 37% | 2021-02-04 | | Lost |
| 1007 | 1126 | 34% | 2021-01-06 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1198 | 24% | 2020-12-28 | | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1054.6 vs 1016.3 has a 55.49% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).