Take The Crossroads
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 47 (22 on the archive and 25 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 28
Defender wins (German): 19
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 994 | 995 | 50% | 2025-01-18 | Won |
| 989 | 989 | 50% | 2025-01-18 | Won |
| 1143 | 1190 | 43% | 2024-11-17 | Won |
| 1172 | 1172 | 50% | 2024-04-24 | Lost |
| 1050 | 989 | 59% | 2022-10-31 | Won |
| 1002 | 1119 | 34% | 2022-09-10 | Lost |
| 1119 | 1002 | 66% | 2022-09-10 | Won |
| 1217 | 1267 | 43% | 2022-06-18 | Won |
| 1106 | 1167 | 41% | 2022-04-01 | Lost |
| 1034 | 932 | 64% | 2022-03-29 | Won |
| 1051 | 988 | 59% | 2022-03-26 | Won |
| 1002 | 1018 | 48% | 2022-02-11 | Lost |
| 995 | 1012 | 48% | 2021-11-04 | Won |
| 884 | 1000 | 34% | 2021-09-03 | Won |
| 1014 | 1014 | 50% | 2021-06-25 | Won |
| 1011 | 1032 | 47% | 2021-06-25 | Lost |
| 805 | 1118 | 14% | 2021-05-27 | Lost |
| 1180 | 1009 | 73% | 2021-03-03 | Lost |
| 916 | 916 | 50% | 2021-02-14 | Lost |
| 979 | 805 | 73% | 2021-01-19 | Won |
| 931 | 1075 | 30% | 2021-01-12 | Won |
| 913 | 885 | 54% | 2020-12-30 | Won |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1023 vs 1031.5 has a 48.78% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).