Take The Crossroads
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 46 (21 on the archive and 25 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 25
Defender wins (German): 21
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1008 | 1006 | 50% | 2025-01-18 | Won |
| 994 | 994 | 50% | 2025-01-18 | Won |
| 1141 | 1188 | 43% | 2024-11-17 | Won |
| 1032 | 1008 | 53% | 2022-10-31 | Won |
| 1119 | 1036 | 62% | 2022-09-10 | Won |
| 1036 | 1119 | 38% | 2022-09-10 | Lost |
| 1264 | 964 | 85% | 2022-06-18 | Won |
| 1110 | 1157 | 43% | 2022-04-01 | Lost |
| 1034 | 932 | 64% | 2022-03-29 | Won |
| 1089 | 990 | 64% | 2022-03-26 | Won |
| 1036 | 1015 | 53% | 2022-02-11 | Lost |
| 994 | 1014 | 47% | 2021-11-04 | Won |
| 884 | 949 | 41% | 2021-09-03 | Won |
| 1043 | 920 | 67% | 2021-06-25 | Lost |
| 956 | 927 | 54% | 2021-06-25 | Won |
| 959 | 1132 | 27% | 2021-05-27 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1032 | 76% | 2021-03-03 | Lost |
| 916 | 916 | 50% | 2021-02-14 | Lost |
| 978 | 959 | 53% | 2021-01-19 | Won |
| 931 | 1092 | 28% | 2021-01-12 | Won |
| 910 | 952 | 44% | 2020-12-30 | Won |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1031.5 vs 1014.4 has a 52.47% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).