Take The Crossroads
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 46 (21 on the archive and 25 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 28
Defender wins (German): 18
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 994 | 1016 | 47% | 2025-01-18 | Won |
| 982 | 982 | 50% | 2025-01-18 | Won |
| 1146 | 1192 | 43% | 2024-11-17 | Won |
| 1032 | 982 | 57% | 2022-10-31 | Won |
| 1036 | 1118 | 38% | 2022-09-10 | Lost |
| 1118 | 1036 | 62% | 2022-09-10 | Won |
| 1269 | 1265 | 51% | 2022-06-18 | Won |
| 1107 | 1128 | 47% | 2022-04-01 | Lost |
| 1034 | 933 | 64% | 2022-03-29 | Won |
| 1052 | 990 | 59% | 2022-03-26 | Won |
| 1036 | 1015 | 53% | 2022-02-11 | Lost |
| 1016 | 1014 | 50% | 2021-11-04 | Won |
| 886 | 950 | 41% | 2021-09-03 | Won |
| 1048 | 1048 | 50% | 2021-06-25 | Won |
| 1021 | 941 | 61% | 2021-06-25 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1143 | 33% | 2021-05-27 | Lost |
| 1204 | 1032 | 73% | 2021-03-03 | Lost |
| 916 | 916 | 50% | 2021-02-14 | Lost |
| 978 | 1020 | 44% | 2021-01-19 | Won |
| 931 | 1102 | 27% | 2021-01-12 | Won |
| 913 | 998 | 38% | 2020-12-30 | Won |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1035.2 vs 1039.1 has a 49.44% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).