Take The Crossroads
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 47 (22 on the archive and 25 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 28
Defender wins (German): 19
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 995 | 51% | 2025-01-18 | | Won |
| 914 | 1000 | 38% | 2025-01-18 | | Won |
| 1137 | 1000 | 69% | 2024-11-17 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1160 | 28% | 2024-04-24 | | Lost |
| 1037 | 914 | 67% | 2022-10-31 | | Won |
| 1100 | 1000 | 64% | 2022-09-10 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1100 | 36% | 2022-09-10 | | Won |
| 1259 | 1000 | 82% | 2022-06-18 | | Won |
| 1203 | 1264 | 41% | 2022-04-01 | | Lost |
| 1091 | 1000 | 63% | 2022-03-29 | | Won |
| 1127 | 1000 | 68% | 2022-03-26 | | Won |
| 1100 | 1013 | 62% | 2022-02-11 | | Lost |
| 995 | 1000 | 49% | 2021-11-04 | | Won |
| 1000 | 941 | 58% | 2021-09-03 | | Won |
| 1014 | 1000 | 52% | 2021-06-25 | | Won |
| 1033 | 912 | 67% | 2021-06-25 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1031 | 46% | 2021-05-27 | | Lost |
| 976 | 1104 | 32% | 2021-03-03 | | Lost |
| 916 | 1000 | 38% | 2021-02-14 | | Lost |
| 978 | 1000 | 47% | 2021-01-19 | | Won |
| 1000 | 990 | 51% | 2021-01-12 | | Won |
| 1000 | 906 | 63% | 2020-12-30 | | Won |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1040 vs 1015 has a 53.59% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).