Take The Crossroads
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 47 (22 on the archive and 25 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 28
Defender wins (German): 19
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 994 | 996 | 50% | 2025-01-18 | Won |
| 989 | 989 | 50% | 2025-01-18 | Won |
| 1143 | 1174 | 46% | 2024-11-17 | Won |
| 1173 | 1173 | 50% | 2024-04-24 | Lost |
| 1049 | 989 | 59% | 2022-10-31 | Won |
| 1037 | 1119 | 38% | 2022-09-10 | Lost |
| 1119 | 1037 | 62% | 2022-09-10 | Won |
| 1151 | 1274 | 33% | 2022-06-18 | Won |
| 1122 | 1158 | 45% | 2022-04-01 | Lost |
| 1035 | 932 | 64% | 2022-03-29 | Won |
| 1029 | 988 | 56% | 2022-03-26 | Won |
| 1037 | 1017 | 53% | 2022-02-11 | Lost |
| 996 | 1013 | 48% | 2021-11-04 | Won |
| 884 | 940 | 42% | 2021-09-03 | Won |
| 1013 | 1006 | 51% | 2021-06-25 | Won |
| 1011 | 982 | 54% | 2021-06-25 | Lost |
| 986 | 1113 | 32% | 2021-05-27 | Lost |
| 1188 | 1001 | 75% | 2021-03-03 | Lost |
| 916 | 916 | 50% | 2021-02-14 | Lost |
| 979 | 986 | 49% | 2021-01-19 | Won |
| 931 | 1084 | 29% | 2021-01-12 | Won |
| 913 | 894 | 53% | 2020-12-30 | Won |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1031.6 vs 1035.5 has a 49.44% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).