Chances Are Slim
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 27 (8 on the archive and 19 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Polish): 10
Defender wins (Russian): 17
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1189 | 943 | 80% | 2022-09-29 | Lost |
| 1004 | 1413 | 9% | 2022-08-20 | Lost |
| 1042 | 1028 | 52% | 2022-04-02 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1055 | 50% | 2021-05-23 | Won |
| 998 | 939 | 58% | 2021-03-20 | Lost |
| 1109 | 1099 | 51% | 2021-03-20 | Won |
| 909 | 1048 | 31% | 2020-12-06 | Won |
| 1223 | 1055 | 72% | 2020-12-06 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1066.1 vs 1072.5 has a 49.08% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).