Chances Are Slim
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 26 (7 on the archive and 19 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Polish): 15
Defender wins (Russian): 11
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1435 | 8% | 2022-08-20 | | Lost |
| 1049 | 1000 | 57% | 2022-04-02 | | Lost |
| 1066 | 1000 | 59% | 2021-05-23 | | Won |
| 940 | 938 | 50% | 2021-03-20 | | Lost |
| 1145 | 1077 | 60% | 2021-03-20 | | Won |
| 981 | 1068 | 38% | 2020-12-06 | | Won |
| 1133 | 1048 | 62% | 2020-12-06 | | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1044.9 vs 1080.9 has a 44.84% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).