Carrier Hill
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 23 (10 on the archive and 13 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Australian): 13
Defender wins (Italian): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1040 | 1000 | 56% | 2026-03-08 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2025-02-21 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2024-10-17 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1145 | 30% | 2023-11-05 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2021-09-02 | Won |
| 1038 | 1000 | 55% | 2021-07-12 | Won |
| 1000 | 1038 | 45% | 2021-06-20 | Lost |
| 943 | 943 | 50% | 2021-05-05 | Lost |
| 956 | 984 | 46% | 2021-04-16 | Won |
| 993 | 1000 | 49% | 2021-03-20 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 997 vs 1011 has a 47.99% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).