Carrier Hill
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 20 (9 on the archive and 11 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Australian): 11
Defender wins (Italian): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1073 | 1053 | 53% | 2025-02-21 | Lost |
| 934 | 906 | 54% | 2024-10-17 | Lost |
| 1148 | 1116 | 55% | 2023-11-05 | Won |
| 1003 | 951 | 57% | 2021-09-02 | Won |
| 1107 | 965 | 69% | 2021-07-12 | Won |
| 875 | 1107 | 21% | 2021-06-20 | Lost |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2021-05-05 | Lost |
| 1189 | 1064 | 67% | 2021-04-16 | Won |
| 1168 | 1141 | 54% | 2021-03-20 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1052.6 vs 1031 has a 53.1% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).