Carrier Hill
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 21 (9 on the archive and 12 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Australian): 12
Defender wins (Italian): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1073 | 1053 | 53% | 2025-02-21 | Lost |
| 952 | 1215 | 18% | 2024-10-17 | Lost |
| 1149 | 1123 | 54% | 2023-11-05 | Won |
| 996 | 951 | 56% | 2021-09-02 | Won |
| 1110 | 935 | 73% | 2021-07-12 | Won |
| 878 | 1110 | 21% | 2021-06-20 | Lost |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2021-05-05 | Lost |
| 1141 | 967 | 73% | 2021-04-16 | Won |
| 1176 | 1152 | 53% | 2021-03-20 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1050.1 vs 1053.6 has a 49.5% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).