The Governor
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 95 (26 on the archive and 69 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Australian): 33
Defender wins (Vichy French): 62
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1013 | 949 | 59% | 2026-10-15 | | Won |
| 1136 | 1000 | 69% | 2026-06-07 | | Won |
| 1077 | 1000 | 61% | 2024-09-30 | | Won |
| 1077 | 1185 | 35% | 2023-01-18 | | Lost |
| 780 | 1141 | 11% | 2021-09-16 | | Lost |
| 1007 | 1057 | 43% | 2021-08-27 | | Lost |
| 1182 | 981 | 76% | 2021-08-11 | | Lost |
| 904 | 928 | 47% | 2021-08-07 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 983 | 52% | 2021-07-27 | | Lost |
| 1171 | 1219 | 43% | 2021-07-15 | | Lost |
| 1014 | 1038 | 47% | 2021-07-02 | | Lost |
| 872 | 979 | 35% | 2021-06-08 | | Won |
| 949 | 1171 | 22% | 2021-06-03 | | Lost |
| 996 | 1058 | 41% | 2021-05-25 | | Lost |
| 1298 | 728 | 96% | 2021-05-24 | | Lost |
| 1088 | 1062 | 54% | 2021-05-22 | | Won |
| 1131 | 1000 | 68% | 2021-05-16 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1102 | 36% | 2021-04-29 | | Lost |
| 1066 | 1073 | 49% | 2021-04-25 | | Lost |
| 952 | 1298 | 12% | 2021-03-26 | | Lost |
| 998 | 728 | 83% | 2021-03-26 | | Lost |
| 1172 | 1128 | 56% | 2021-03-26 | | Won |
| 1097 | 1298 | 24% | 2021-03-21 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 983 | 52% | 2021-03-18 | | Lost |
| 1015 | 1204 | 25% | 2021-03-10 | | Lost |
| 918 | 1076 | 29% | 2021-02-16 | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1035.1 vs 1052.7 has a 47.48% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).