The Governor
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 93 (25 on the archive and 68 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Australian): 32
Defender wins (Vichy French): 61
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1117 | 1117 | 50% | 2026-06-07 | Won |
| 1077 | 1099 | 47% | 2024-09-30 | Won |
| 1084 | 1127 | 44% | 2023-01-18 | Lost |
| 753 | 1140 | 10% | 2021-09-16 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1057 | 45% | 2021-08-27 | Lost |
| 1218 | 985 | 79% | 2021-08-11 | Lost |
| 924 | 928 | 49% | 2021-08-07 | Lost |
| 953 | 982 | 46% | 2021-07-27 | Lost |
| 1179 | 1231 | 43% | 2021-07-15 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1038 | 48% | 2021-07-02 | Lost |
| 914 | 872 | 56% | 2021-06-08 | Won |
| 998 | 1136 | 31% | 2021-06-03 | Lost |
| 997 | 1058 | 41% | 2021-05-25 | Lost |
| 1225 | 746 | 94% | 2021-05-24 | Lost |
| 1076 | 1052 | 53% | 2021-05-22 | Won |
| 1203 | 1002 | 76% | 2021-05-16 | Won |
| 1070 | 1102 | 45% | 2021-04-29 | Lost |
| 1065 | 1073 | 49% | 2021-04-25 | Lost |
| 968 | 1225 | 19% | 2021-03-26 | Lost |
| 998 | 746 | 81% | 2021-03-26 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1128 | 48% | 2021-03-26 | Won |
| 1028 | 1225 | 24% | 2021-03-21 | Lost |
| 1031 | 982 | 57% | 2021-03-18 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1226 | 24% | 2021-03-10 | Lost |
| 918 | 1097 | 26% | 2021-02-16 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1039.2 vs 1055 has a 47.74% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).