Dingoes At Damour
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 88 (26 on the archive and 62 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Australian): 42
Defender wins (Vichy French): 46
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1029 | 1074 | 44% | 2024-05-10 | Lost |
| 1109 | 1074 | 55% | 2024-04-23 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1126 | 46% | 2024-04-20 | Lost |
| 958 | 930 | 54% | 2024-03-15 | Lost |
| 1075 | 1102 | 46% | 2024-02-12 | Lost |
| 1027 | 1180 | 29% | 2022-12-11 | Won |
| 1084 | 891 | 75% | 2022-10-15 | Won |
| 1059 | 1029 | 54% | 2022-10-03 | Won |
| 1056 | 1173 | 34% | 2022-09-07 | Won |
| 1189 | 983 | 77% | 2022-08-17 | Won |
| 1113 | 1113 | 50% | 2022-05-01 | Lost |
| 1025 | 1013 | 52% | 2022-03-04 | Won |
| 1010 | 1165 | 29% | 2022-02-12 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1063 | 52% | 2021-09-01 | Lost |
| 1135 | 1027 | 65% | 2021-07-23 | Won |
| 1216 | 1219 | 50% | 2021-07-23 | Won |
| 1053 | 1027 | 54% | 2021-07-13 | Lost |
| 1028 | 998 | 54% | 2021-06-27 | Won |
| 1193 | 1072 | 67% | 2021-06-25 | Lost |
| 1103 | 1211 | 35% | 2021-06-11 | Won |
| 1123 | 1110 | 52% | 2021-05-17 | Lost |
| 1206 | 1100 | 65% | 2021-05-16 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1100 | 52% | 2021-05-15 | Won |
| 1217 | 1047 | 73% | 2021-05-12 | Won |
| 939 | 1135 | 24% | 2021-04-16 | Lost |
| 982 | 1031 | 43% | 2021-04-01 | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1085.2 vs 1076.7 has a 51.22% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).