Dingoes At Damour
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 86 (26 on the archive and 60 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Australian): 42
Defender wins (Vichy French): 44
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1061 | 1074 | 48% | 2024-05-10 | Lost |
| 1082 | 1073 | 51% | 2024-04-23 | Lost |
| 1109 | 1145 | 45% | 2024-04-20 | Lost |
| 960 | 966 | 49% | 2024-03-15 | Lost |
| 1078 | 1078 | 50% | 2024-02-12 | Lost |
| 1003 | 1228 | 21% | 2022-12-11 | Won |
| 1010 | 1128 | 34% | 2022-10-15 | Won |
| 1058 | 1061 | 50% | 2022-10-03 | Won |
| 1038 | 1173 | 31% | 2022-09-07 | Won |
| 1223 | 978 | 80% | 2022-08-17 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2022-05-01 | Lost |
| 1039 | 927 | 66% | 2022-03-04 | Won |
| 1029 | 1165 | 31% | 2022-02-12 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1061 | 51% | 2021-09-01 | Lost |
| 1282 | 1140 | 69% | 2021-07-23 | Won |
| 1141 | 1014 | 68% | 2021-07-23 | Won |
| 1053 | 1004 | 57% | 2021-07-13 | Lost |
| 1045 | 967 | 61% | 2021-06-27 | Won |
| 1175 | 1086 | 63% | 2021-06-25 | Lost |
| 1106 | 1210 | 35% | 2021-06-11 | Won |
| 1117 | 1137 | 47% | 2021-05-17 | Lost |
| 1210 | 1032 | 74% | 2021-05-16 | Lost |
| 1207 | 1032 | 73% | 2021-05-15 | Won |
| 1219 | 1029 | 75% | 2021-05-12 | Won |
| 939 | 1141 | 24% | 2021-04-16 | Lost |
| 982 | 1031 | 43% | 2021-04-01 | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1089.3 vs 1075.7 has a 51.96% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).