Dingoes At Damour
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 88 (26 on the archive and 62 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Australian): 42
Defender wins (Vichy French): 46
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1045 | 1074 | 46% | 2024-05-10 | Lost |
| 1073 | 1087 | 48% | 2024-04-23 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1147 | 40% | 2024-04-20 | Lost |
| 959 | 879 | 61% | 2024-03-15 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1099 | 45% | 2024-02-12 | Lost |
| 1027 | 1218 | 25% | 2022-12-11 | Won |
| 1094 | 935 | 71% | 2022-10-15 | Won |
| 1059 | 1045 | 52% | 2022-10-03 | Won |
| 1057 | 1173 | 34% | 2022-09-07 | Won |
| 1201 | 985 | 78% | 2022-08-17 | Won |
| 1066 | 1066 | 50% | 2022-05-01 | Lost |
| 1012 | 1018 | 49% | 2022-03-04 | Won |
| 1045 | 1181 | 31% | 2022-02-12 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1064 | 51% | 2021-09-01 | Lost |
| 1200 | 1028 | 73% | 2021-07-23 | Won |
| 1179 | 1218 | 44% | 2021-07-23 | Won |
| 1053 | 1029 | 53% | 2021-07-13 | Lost |
| 975 | 1045 | 40% | 2021-06-27 | Won |
| 1192 | 1072 | 67% | 2021-06-25 | Lost |
| 1102 | 1138 | 45% | 2021-06-11 | Won |
| 1120 | 1101 | 53% | 2021-05-17 | Lost |
| 1248 | 991 | 81% | 2021-05-16 | Lost |
| 1144 | 991 | 71% | 2021-05-15 | Won |
| 1217 | 1018 | 76% | 2021-05-12 | Won |
| 939 | 1200 | 18% | 2021-04-16 | Lost |
| 982 | 1031 | 43% | 2021-04-01 | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1084.7 vs 1070.5 has a 52.05% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).