Hickory Lickin'
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 83 (23 on the archive and 60 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 31
Defender wins (German): 51
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 891 | 1021 | 32% | 2026-04-23 | Won |
| 1035 | 1035 | 50% | 2026-02-22 | Lost |
| 993 | 1103 | 35% | 2025-03-27 | Won |
| 872 | 865 | 51% | 2022-08-31 | Lost |
| 992 | 1144 | 29% | 2022-08-22 | Lost |
| 1135 | 959 | 73% | 2022-08-20 | Won |
| 1016 | 1076 | 41% | 2022-07-25 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1001 | 79% | 2022-06-10 | Won |
| 1420 | 1226 | 75% | 2022-05-01 | Lost |
| 968 | 1077 | 35% | 2022-04-23 | Lost |
| 1143 | 1103 | 56% | 2022-01-07 | Won |
| 741 | 1218 | 6% | 2021-12-07 | Lost |
| 1005 | 1052 | 43% | 2021-12-04 | Tied |
| 1046 | 1138 | 37% | 2021-12-03 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1243 | 21% | 2021-10-08 | Lost |
| 973 | 780 | 75% | 2021-09-17 | Won |
| 1243 | 900 | 88% | 2021-07-15 | Won |
| 1130 | 1217 | 38% | 2021-07-14 | Lost |
| 1130 | 1217 | 38% | 2021-07-14 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1136 | 47% | 2021-06-13 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1103 | 66% | 2021-05-16 | Won |
| 980 | 1077 | 36% | 2021-05-15 | Won |
| 1077 | 1030 | 57% | 2021-01-27 | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1059.4 vs 1074.8 has a 47.79% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).