Hickory Lickin'
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 79 (21 on the archive and 58 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 45
Defender wins (German): 33
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 993 | 985 | 51% | 2025-03-27 | Won |
| 904 | 866 | 55% | 2022-08-31 | Lost |
| 991 | 1170 | 26% | 2022-08-22 | Lost |
| 1135 | 980 | 71% | 2022-08-20 | Won |
| 1016 | 1077 | 41% | 2022-07-25 | Lost |
| 1274 | 999 | 83% | 2022-06-10 | Won |
| 1419 | 1274 | 70% | 2022-05-01 | Lost |
| 968 | 1037 | 40% | 2022-04-23 | Lost |
| 1125 | 985 | 69% | 2022-01-07 | Won |
| 756 | 1221 | 6% | 2021-12-07 | Lost |
| 1005 | 1037 | 45% | 2021-12-04 | Tied |
| 1029 | 1138 | 35% | 2021-12-03 | Lost |
| 1016 | 1174 | 29% | 2021-10-08 | Lost |
| 991 | 780 | 77% | 2021-09-17 | Won |
| 1174 | 895 | 83% | 2021-07-15 | Won |
| 1099 | 1216 | 34% | 2021-07-14 | Lost |
| 1099 | 1216 | 34% | 2021-07-14 | Lost |
| 1090 | 1143 | 42% | 2021-06-13 | Lost |
| 1187 | 985 | 76% | 2021-05-16 | Won |
| 1022 | 1066 | 44% | 2021-05-15 | Won |
| 1177 | 1031 | 70% | 2021-01-27 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1070 vs 1060.7 has a 51.34% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).