Hickory Lickin'
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 83 (23 on the archive and 60 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 31
Defender wins (German): 51
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 890 | 1020 | 32% | 2026-04-23 | Won |
| 1035 | 1035 | 50% | 2026-02-22 | Lost |
| 993 | 981 | 52% | 2025-03-27 | Won |
| 928 | 866 | 59% | 2022-08-31 | Lost |
| 992 | 1161 | 27% | 2022-08-22 | Lost |
| 1132 | 981 | 70% | 2022-08-20 | Won |
| 1016 | 1118 | 36% | 2022-07-25 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1001 | 78% | 2022-06-10 | Won |
| 1420 | 1219 | 76% | 2022-05-01 | Lost |
| 968 | 1060 | 37% | 2022-04-23 | Lost |
| 1084 | 981 | 64% | 2022-01-07 | Won |
| 734 | 1184 | 7% | 2021-12-07 | Lost |
| 1005 | 1082 | 39% | 2021-12-04 | Tied |
| 1063 | 1138 | 39% | 2021-12-03 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1198 | 26% | 2021-10-08 | Lost |
| 976 | 780 | 76% | 2021-09-17 | Won |
| 1198 | 901 | 85% | 2021-07-15 | Won |
| 1146 | 1217 | 40% | 2021-07-14 | Lost |
| 1146 | 1217 | 40% | 2021-07-14 | Lost |
| 1126 | 1136 | 49% | 2021-06-13 | Lost |
| 1185 | 981 | 76% | 2021-05-16 | Won |
| 969 | 1077 | 35% | 2021-05-15 | Won |
| 1102 | 1030 | 60% | 2021-01-27 | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1058.3 vs 1059.3 has a 49.86% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).