Hickory Lickin'
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 78 (21 on the archive and 57 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 28
Defender wins (German): 49
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 995 | 764 | 79% | 2025-03-27 | Won |
| 900 | 866 | 55% | 2022-08-31 | Lost |
| 999 | 1144 | 30% | 2022-08-22 | Lost |
| 1124 | 966 | 71% | 2022-08-20 | Won |
| 1016 | 1032 | 48% | 2022-07-25 | Lost |
| 1329 | 999 | 87% | 2022-06-10 | Won |
| 1062 | 1329 | 18% | 2022-05-01 | Lost |
| 968 | 1036 | 40% | 2022-04-23 | Lost |
| 1143 | 764 | 90% | 2022-01-07 | Won |
| 747 | 1268 | 5% | 2021-12-07 | Lost |
| 1005 | 1032 | 46% | 2021-12-04 | Tied |
| 1052 | 1139 | 38% | 2021-12-03 | Lost |
| 1274 | 1154 | 67% | 2021-10-08 | Lost |
| 1044 | 764 | 83% | 2021-09-17 | Won |
| 1154 | 912 | 80% | 2021-07-15 | Won |
| 1060 | 1219 | 29% | 2021-07-14 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1219 | 29% | 2021-07-14 | Lost |
| 1163 | 1114 | 57% | 2021-06-13 | Lost |
| 1158 | 764 | 91% | 2021-05-16 | Won |
| 1025 | 1065 | 44% | 2021-05-15 | Won |
| 1189 | 1030 | 71% | 2021-01-27 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1069.9 vs 1027.6 has a 56.05% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).