The Bend
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 32 (14 on the archive and 18 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 17
Defender wins (American): 15
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 937 | 943 | 49% | 2024-01-15 | Won |
| 734 | 1184 | 7% | 2022-07-04 | Lost |
| 1167 | 939 | 79% | 2022-01-17 | Lost |
| 987 | 976 | 52% | 2021-12-02 | Won |
| 983 | 1032 | 43% | 2021-12-01 | Lost |
| 924 | 1063 | 31% | 2021-11-15 | Lost |
| 1084 | 981 | 64% | 2021-11-08 | Lost |
| 952 | 1156 | 24% | 2021-10-22 | Won |
| 1069 | 1031 | 55% | 2021-08-29 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1099 | 55% | 2021-08-24 | Lost |
| 1185 | 981 | 76% | 2021-05-16 | Lost |
| 1060 | 999 | 59% | 2021-05-02 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1109 | 43% | 2021-01-19 | Won |
| 1074 | 1074 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1025.1 vs 1040.5 has a 47.79% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).