The Bend
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 32 (14 on the archive and 18 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 16
Defender wins (American): 16
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 941 | 937 | 51% | 2024-01-15 | Lost |
| 736 | 1274 | 4% | 2022-07-04 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1012 | 60% | 2022-01-17 | Lost |
| 942 | 1014 | 40% | 2021-12-02 | Won |
| 982 | 1031 | 43% | 2021-12-01 | Lost |
| 1077 | 1063 | 52% | 2021-11-15 | Lost |
| 1118 | 805 | 86% | 2021-11-08 | Lost |
| 996 | 1000 | 49% | 2021-10-22 | Won |
| 1068 | 1122 | 42% | 2021-08-29 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1183 | 43% | 2021-08-24 | Lost |
| 1217 | 805 | 91% | 2021-05-16 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1014 | 48% | 2021-05-02 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1030 | 46% | 2021-01-19 | Won |
| 1118 | 1091 | 54% | | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1029.9 vs 1027.2 has a 50.39% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).