The Bend
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 32 (14 on the archive and 18 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 8
Defender wins (American): 24
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 977 | 942 | 55% | 2024-01-15 | Lost |
| 747 | 1220 | 6% | 2022-07-04 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1041 | 50% | 2022-01-17 | Lost |
| 961 | 1044 | 38% | 2021-12-02 | Won |
| 982 | 1031 | 43% | 2021-12-01 | Lost |
| 1071 | 1052 | 53% | 2021-11-15 | Lost |
| 1143 | 1277 | 32% | 2021-11-08 | Lost |
| 985 | 948 | 55% | 2021-10-22 | Won |
| 1064 | 1064 | 50% | 2021-08-29 | Lost |
| 1114 | 1181 | 40% | 2021-08-24 | Lost |
| 1158 | 1277 | 34% | 2021-05-16 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1014 | 53% | 2021-05-02 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1028 | 51% | 2021-01-19 | Won |
| 1090 | 1090 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1029.1 vs 1086.4 has a 41.84% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).