The Bend
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 32 (14 on the archive and 18 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 16
Defender wins (American): 16
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 953 | 937 | 52% | 2024-01-15 | Lost |
| 743 | 1257 | 5% | 2022-07-04 | Lost |
| 1075 | 1041 | 55% | 2022-01-17 | Lost |
| 954 | 1043 | 37% | 2021-12-02 | Won |
| 982 | 1031 | 43% | 2021-12-01 | Lost |
| 1070 | 1051 | 53% | 2021-11-15 | Lost |
| 1131 | 802 | 87% | 2021-11-08 | Lost |
| 1049 | 949 | 64% | 2021-10-22 | Won |
| 1063 | 1123 | 41% | 2021-08-29 | Lost |
| 1114 | 1203 | 37% | 2021-08-24 | Lost |
| 1145 | 802 | 88% | 2021-05-16 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1014 | 52% | 2021-05-02 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1027 | 50% | 2021-01-19 | Won |
| 1103 | 1089 | 52% | | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1031.3 vs 1026.4 has a 50.71% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).