The Vital Hours
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 95 (27 on the archive and 68 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 47
Defender wins (German (SS)): 46
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 953 | 1024 | 40% | 2025-07-01 | Lost |
| 1099 | 1066 | 55% | 2025-06-11 | Lost |
| 939 | 939 | 50% | 2025-04-21 | Lost |
| 1159 | 1129 | 54% | 2025-01-25 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1147 | 61% | 2024-09-16 | Lost |
| 1015 | 904 | 65% | 2024-08-20 | Won |
| 733 | 1140 | 9% | 2024-08-14 | Lost |
| 935 | 958 | 47% | 2023-03-05 | Tied |
| 1097 | 1112 | 48% | 2023-02-10 | Won |
| 1032 | 994 | 55% | 2023-02-10 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2022-09-18 | Lost |
| 1159 | 1143 | 52% | 2022-08-05 | Won |
| 1159 | 1169 | 49% | 2022-07-22 | Lost |
| 1140 | 733 | 91% | 2022-06-02 | Won |
| 1018 | 958 | 59% | 2022-03-04 | Lost |
| 878 | 991 | 34% | 2021-10-06 | Tied |
| 1218 | 992 | 79% | 2021-09-23 | Lost |
| 891 | 1103 | 23% | 2021-09-15 | Lost |
| 951 | 982 | 46% | 2021-08-31 | Won |
| 881 | 1151 | 17% | 2021-08-07 | Lost |
| 1217 | 1018 | 76% | 2021-07-01 | Won |
| 1068 | 1073 | 49% | 2021-06-21 | Lost |
| 1274 | 904 | 89% | 2021-06-18 | Won |
| 1098 | 1125 | 46% | 2021-06-07 | Lost |
| 1307 | 1102 | 76% | 2021-05-11 | Lost |
| 1098 | 933 | 72% | 2021-04-26 | Lost |
| 1228 | 991 | 80% | 2021-04-07 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1069 vs 1032.2 has a 55.28% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).