The Vital Hours
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 93 (27 on the archive and 66 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 47
Defender wins (German (SS)): 44
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 954 | 1025 | 40% | 2025-07-01 | Lost |
| 1102 | 1099 | 50% | 2025-06-11 | Lost |
| 940 | 940 | 50% | 2025-04-21 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1125 | 50% | 2025-01-25 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1128 | 57% | 2024-09-16 | Lost |
| 1011 | 918 | 63% | 2024-08-20 | Won |
| 713 | 1152 | 7% | 2024-08-14 | Lost |
| 1045 | 916 | 68% | 2023-03-05 | Tied |
| 1097 | 1112 | 48% | 2023-02-10 | Won |
| 1015 | 994 | 53% | 2023-02-10 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2022-09-18 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1127 | 50% | 2022-08-05 | Won |
| 1127 | 1121 | 51% | 2022-07-22 | Lost |
| 1152 | 713 | 93% | 2022-06-02 | Won |
| 1035 | 916 | 66% | 2022-03-04 | Lost |
| 879 | 1039 | 28% | 2021-10-06 | Tied |
| 1180 | 1021 | 71% | 2021-09-23 | Lost |
| 927 | 1106 | 26% | 2021-09-15 | Lost |
| 953 | 982 | 46% | 2021-08-31 | Won |
| 881 | 1065 | 26% | 2021-08-07 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1030 | 75% | 2021-07-01 | Won |
| 1063 | 1139 | 39% | 2021-06-21 | Lost |
| 1333 | 904 | 92% | 2021-06-18 | Won |
| 1065 | 1124 | 42% | 2021-06-07 | Lost |
| 1307 | 1102 | 76% | 2021-05-11 | Lost |
| 1013 | 986 | 54% | 2021-04-26 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1039 | 69% | 2021-04-07 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1063 vs 1033.7 has a 54.2% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).