Three Bars of Chocolate
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 31 (12 on the archive and 19 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 19
Defender wins (German): 11
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 977 | 977 | 50% | 2024-11-17 | Won |
| 1020 | 964 | 58% | 2023-06-17 | Lost |
| 1060 | 949 | 65% | 2023-02-07 | Won |
| 1142 | 1191 | 43% | 2022-10-02 | Won |
| 1044 | 996 | 57% | 2022-09-12 | Lost |
| 1044 | 996 | 57% | 2022-09-08 | Won |
| 918 | 879 | 56% | 2022-03-27 | Won |
| 879 | 1050 | 27% | 2022-02-15 | Lost |
| 1064 | 914 | 70% | 2022-01-30 | Won |
| 1329 | 1096 | 79% | 2022-01-20 | Lost |
| 879 | 764 | 66% | 2021-10-26 | Tied |
| 1135 | 1154 | 47% | 2021-03-19 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1040.9 vs 994.2 has a 56.69% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).