Three Bars of Chocolate
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 28 (9 on the archive and 19 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 17
Defender wins (German): 10
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1015 | 983 | 55% | 2023-06-17 | Lost |
969 | 977 | 49% | 2023-02-07 | Won |
1142 | 1191 | 43% | 2022-10-02 | Won |
1169 | 981 | 75% | 2022-09-12 | Lost |
1169 | 981 | 75% | 2022-09-08 | Won |
1040 | 923 | 66% | 2022-01-30 | Won |
1307 | 1082 | 79% | 2022-01-20 | Lost |
882 | 983 | 36% | 2021-10-26 | Tied |
1196 | 1123 | 60% | 2021-03-19 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1098.8 vs 1024.9 has a 60.48% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).