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Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 27 (10 on the archive and 17 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 18
Defender wins (Polish): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 996 | 1040 | 44% | 2024-09-24 | Won |
| 749 | 1257 | 5% | 2024-02-19 | Lost |
| 1189 | 959 | 79% | 2022-09-29 | Lost |
| 1310 | 1109 | 76% | 2021-10-07 | Won |
| 1219 | 1339 | 33% | 2021-08-24 | Won |
| 1032 | 1228 | 24% | 2021-08-19 | Won |
| 1044 | 949 | 63% | 2021-08-13 | Won |
| 1170 | 1192 | 47% | 2021-07-01 | Won |
| 920 | 903 | 52% | 2021-04-19 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1219 | 25% | 2021-04-16 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1065.8 vs 1119.5 has a 42.33% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).