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Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 28 (11 on the archive and 17 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 18
Defender wins (Polish): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 995 | 1022 | 46% | 2024-09-24 | Won |
| 747 | 1268 | 5% | 2024-02-19 | Lost |
| 1158 | 949 | 77% | 2022-09-29 | Lost |
| 1329 | 1096 | 79% | 2021-10-07 | Won |
| 1219 | 1339 | 33% | 2021-08-24 | Won |
| 1032 | 1204 | 27% | 2021-08-19 | Won |
| 1034 | 949 | 62% | 2021-08-13 | Won |
| 1152 | 712 | 93% | 2021-08-12 | Lost |
| 1181 | 1192 | 48% | 2021-07-01 | Won |
| 920 | 909 | 52% | 2021-04-19 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1219 | 25% | 2021-04-16 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1072.4 vs 1078.1 has a 49.18% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).