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Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 23 (9 on the archive and 14 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 9
Defender wins (Polish): 14
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
804 | 1160 | 11% | 2024-02-19 | Lost |
925 | 984 | 42% | 2022-09-29 | Lost |
1307 | 1086 | 78% | 2021-10-07 | Won |
1284 | 1311 | 46% | 2021-08-24 | Won |
1058 | 1216 | 29% | 2021-08-19 | Won |
1045 | 991 | 58% | 2021-08-13 | Won |
1180 | 1190 | 49% | 2021-07-01 | Won |
920 | 1013 | 37% | 2021-04-19 | Lost |
1016 | 1284 | 18% | 2021-04-16 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1059.9 vs 1137.2 has a 39.05% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).