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Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 28 (11 on the archive and 17 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 11
Defender wins (Polish): 17
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1012 | 1028 | 48% | 2024-09-24 | Won |
| 756 | 1281 | 5% | 2024-02-19 | Lost |
| 1178 | 985 | 75% | 2022-09-29 | Lost |
| 1274 | 1135 | 69% | 2021-10-07 | Won |
| 1216 | 931 | 84% | 2021-08-24 | Won |
| 1001 | 1188 | 25% | 2021-08-19 | Won |
| 1004 | 1027 | 47% | 2021-08-13 | Won |
| 1138 | 731 | 91% | 2021-08-12 | Lost |
| 1192 | 1192 | 50% | 2021-07-01 | Won |
| 916 | 950 | 45% | 2021-04-19 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1216 | 24% | 2021-04-16 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1064.3 vs 1060.4 has a 50.56% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).