Vilnius Breakout
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 5 (2 on the archive and 3 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 2
Defender wins (Russian and Polish Partisans): 3
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1017 | 984 | 55% | 2024-04-20 | Won |
| 973 | 957 | 52% | 2021-05-01 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 995 vs 970.5 has a 53.52% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).