Vilnius Breakout
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 5 (2 on the archive and 3 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 2
Defender wins (Russian and Polish Partisans): 3
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1020 | 984 | 55% | 2024-04-20 | Won |
| 985 | 959 | 54% | 2021-05-01 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1002.5 vs 971.5 has a 54.45% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).