Great Vengeance
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 79 (30 on the archive and 49 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 38
Defender wins (German): 37
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 966 | 846 | 67% | 2025-05-06 | Lost |
| 1025 | 1025 | 50% | 2025-02-08 | Tied |
| 994 | 1043 | 43% | 2025-02-08 | Tied |
| 1215 | 883 | 87% | 2024-12-05 | Won |
| 1041 | 1069 | 46% | 2024-12-05 | Won |
| 1140 | 1141 | 50% | 2024-10-25 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1126 | 38% | 2023-08-29 | Tied |
| 1110 | 1043 | 60% | 2023-06-08 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1016 | 63% | 2023-06-08 | Lost |
| 1210 | 1032 | 74% | 2023-04-01 | Lost |
| 1193 | 988 | 76% | 2023-03-18 | Won |
| 872 | 873 | 50% | 2023-03-03 | Lost |
| 1191 | 1008 | 74% | 2023-03-03 | Won |
| 1109 | 910 | 76% | 2023-03-02 | Won |
| 1008 | 924 | 62% | 2023-01-28 | Lost |
| 917 | 872 | 56% | 2023-01-26 | Won |
| 1223 | 927 | 85% | 2022-12-12 | Lost |
| 958 | 980 | 47% | 2022-12-12 | Lost |
| 1210 | 1032 | 74% | 2022-10-15 | Lost |
| 1006 | 1084 | 39% | 2022-08-05 | Won |
| 1141 | 1014 | 68% | 2022-07-29 | Won |
| 1133 | 1081 | 57% | 2022-05-07 | Won |
| 1193 | 1132 | 59% | 2022-03-03 | Won |
| 1193 | 1054 | 69% | 2022-03-03 | Won |
| 1086 | 1207 | 33% | 2022-03-01 | Tied |
| 885 | 1219 | 13% | 2022-02-23 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1158 | 48% | 2021-12-11 | Lost |
| 1081 | 1086 | 49% | 2021-12-08 | Won |
| 1012 | 1061 | 43% | 2021-12-04 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1029 | 62% | | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1083.9 vs 1028.8 has a 57.87% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).