Great Vengeance
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 85 (33 on the archive and 52 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 38
Defender wins (German): 43
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1049 | 1049 | 50% | 2026-02-17 | Lost |
| 1042 | 1042 | 50% | 2025-08-09 | Lost |
| 1319 | 1264 | 58% | 2025-06-14 | Lost |
| 887 | 893 | 49% | 2025-05-06 | Lost |
| 984 | 984 | 50% | 2025-02-08 | Tied |
| 989 | 989 | 50% | 2025-02-08 | Tied |
| 1041 | 1014 | 54% | 2024-12-05 | Won |
| 1215 | 876 | 88% | 2024-12-05 | Won |
| 1219 | 1189 | 54% | 2024-10-25 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1125 | 49% | 2023-08-29 | Tied |
| 1120 | 1018 | 64% | 2023-06-08 | Lost |
| 1120 | 1056 | 59% | 2023-06-08 | Lost |
| 1232 | 1045 | 75% | 2023-04-01 | Lost |
| 1256 | 988 | 82% | 2023-03-18 | Won |
| 941 | 873 | 60% | 2023-03-03 | Lost |
| 1188 | 1063 | 67% | 2023-03-03 | Won |
| 1127 | 975 | 71% | 2023-03-02 | Won |
| 1063 | 966 | 64% | 2023-01-28 | Lost |
| 917 | 941 | 47% | 2023-01-26 | Won |
| 933 | 980 | 43% | 2022-12-12 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1000 | 79% | 2022-12-12 | Lost |
| 1232 | 1045 | 75% | 2022-10-15 | Lost |
| 1008 | 1081 | 40% | 2022-08-05 | Won |
| 1189 | 1029 | 72% | 2022-07-29 | Won |
| 1173 | 1097 | 61% | 2022-05-07 | Won |
| 1256 | 1092 | 72% | 2022-03-03 | Won |
| 1256 | 1139 | 66% | 2022-03-03 | Won |
| 1072 | 1131 | 42% | 2022-03-01 | Tied |
| 920 | 1069 | 30% | 2022-02-23 | Lost |
| 1189 | 1168 | 53% | 2021-12-11 | Lost |
| 1082 | 1072 | 51% | 2021-12-08 | Won |
| 1011 | 1000 | 52% | 2021-12-04 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1017 | 50% | | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1102.8 vs 1038.5 has a 59.15% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).