Great Vengeance
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 80 (30 on the archive and 50 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 38
Defender wins (German): 38
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 998 | 846 | 71% | 2025-05-06 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2025-02-08 | Tied |
| 991 | 978 | 52% | 2025-02-08 | Tied |
| 1041 | 1055 | 48% | 2024-12-05 | Won |
| 1215 | 882 | 87% | 2024-12-05 | Won |
| 1140 | 1141 | 50% | 2024-10-25 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1106 | 43% | 2023-08-29 | Tied |
| 1110 | 1016 | 63% | 2023-06-08 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1043 | 60% | 2023-06-08 | Lost |
| 1170 | 958 | 77% | 2023-04-01 | Lost |
| 1272 | 988 | 84% | 2023-03-18 | Won |
| 847 | 873 | 46% | 2023-03-03 | Lost |
| 1191 | 1009 | 74% | 2023-03-03 | Won |
| 1100 | 937 | 72% | 2023-03-02 | Won |
| 1009 | 934 | 61% | 2023-01-28 | Lost |
| 917 | 847 | 60% | 2023-01-26 | Won |
| 958 | 980 | 47% | 2022-12-12 | Lost |
| 1223 | 970 | 81% | 2022-12-12 | Lost |
| 1170 | 958 | 77% | 2022-10-15 | Lost |
| 1006 | 1084 | 39% | 2022-08-05 | Won |
| 1141 | 1014 | 68% | 2022-07-29 | Won |
| 1104 | 1099 | 51% | 2022-05-07 | Won |
| 1272 | 973 | 85% | 2022-03-03 | Won |
| 1272 | 1132 | 69% | 2022-03-03 | Won |
| 1086 | 1132 | 43% | 2022-03-01 | Tied |
| 885 | 1187 | 15% | 2022-02-23 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1292 | 30% | 2021-12-11 | Lost |
| 1081 | 1086 | 49% | 2021-12-08 | Won |
| 1012 | 1073 | 41% | 2021-12-04 | Lost |
| 1112 | 1029 | 62% | | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1088 vs 1021 has a 59.52% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).