Great Vengeance
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 82 (31 on the archive and 51 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 38
Defender wins (German): 40
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1139 | 1139 | 50% | 2025-08-09 | Lost |
| 927 | 878 | 57% | 2025-05-06 | Lost |
| 997 | 997 | 50% | 2025-02-08 | Tied |
| 989 | 989 | 50% | 2025-02-08 | Tied |
| 1041 | 1015 | 54% | 2024-12-05 | Won |
| 1215 | 879 | 87% | 2024-12-05 | Won |
| 1220 | 1141 | 61% | 2024-10-25 | Lost |
| 1065 | 1124 | 42% | 2023-08-29 | Tied |
| 1106 | 1024 | 62% | 2023-06-08 | Lost |
| 1106 | 1039 | 60% | 2023-06-08 | Lost |
| 1185 | 991 | 75% | 2023-04-01 | Lost |
| 1256 | 988 | 82% | 2023-03-18 | Won |
| 908 | 873 | 55% | 2023-03-03 | Lost |
| 1188 | 1028 | 72% | 2023-03-03 | Won |
| 1112 | 954 | 71% | 2023-03-02 | Won |
| 1028 | 942 | 62% | 2023-01-28 | Lost |
| 917 | 908 | 51% | 2023-01-26 | Won |
| 932 | 980 | 43% | 2022-12-12 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1035 | 75% | 2022-12-12 | Lost |
| 1185 | 991 | 75% | 2022-10-15 | Lost |
| 1008 | 1082 | 40% | 2022-08-05 | Won |
| 1141 | 1008 | 68% | 2022-07-29 | Won |
| 1127 | 1105 | 53% | 2022-05-07 | Won |
| 1256 | 986 | 83% | 2022-03-03 | Won |
| 1256 | 1154 | 64% | 2022-03-03 | Won |
| 1102 | 1109 | 49% | 2022-03-01 | Tied |
| 872 | 1203 | 13% | 2022-02-23 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1134 | 51% | 2021-12-11 | Lost |
| 1082 | 1102 | 47% | 2021-12-08 | Won |
| 1012 | 1051 | 44% | 2021-12-04 | Lost |
| 1104 | 1030 | 60% | | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1091.7 vs 1028.4 has a 59.02% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).