The Down Payment
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 4 (2 on the archive and 2 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 4
Defender wins (German): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1024 | 1204 | 26% | 2023-10-31 | Won |
1113 | 1204 | 37% | 2021-12-18 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1068.5 vs 1204 has a 31.43% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).