The Down Payment
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 5 (2 on the archive and 3 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 5
Defender wins (German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1040 | 1005 | 55% | 2023-10-31 | Won |
| 1113 | 1005 | 65% | 2021-12-18 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1076.5 vs 1005 has a 60.15% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).