Villy Muss Fallen! East
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 20 (7 on the archive and 13 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 14
Defender wins (French): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1218 | 1213 | 51% | 2024-11-03 | Won |
| 1152 | 999 | 71% | 2023-06-26 | Won |
| 1065 | 1134 | 40% | 2022-07-13 | Lost |
| 999 | 1138 | 31% | 2022-01-15 | Lost |
| 1077 | 755 | 86% | 2021-11-13 | Won |
| 965 | 912 | 58% | 2021-11-12 | Won |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2021-10-21 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1064.6 vs 1018.1 has a 56.64% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).