Villy Muss Fallen! East
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 20 (7 on the archive and 13 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 14
Defender wins (French): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1218 | 1213 | 51% | 2024-11-03 | Won |
| 1230 | 1136 | 63% | 2023-06-26 | Won |
| 1113 | 1134 | 47% | 2022-07-13 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1143 | 49% | 2022-01-15 | Lost |
| 1097 | 763 | 87% | 2021-11-13 | Won |
| 903 | 915 | 48% | 2021-11-12 | Won |
| 998 | 1217 | 22% | 2021-10-21 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1099.3 vs 1074.4 has a 53.57% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).