An Unexpected Complication
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 18 (4 on the archive and 14 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 7
Defender wins (British): 11
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1127 | 1160 | 45% | 2026-04-04 | Lost |
| 1223 | 1161 | 59% | 2023-05-31 | Lost |
| 1223 | 956 | 82% | 2022-04-14 | Won |
| 1087 | 1110 | 47% | 2022-01-28 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1165 vs 1096.8 has a 59.7% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).