An Unexpected Complication
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 18 (4 on the archive and 14 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 7
Defender wins (British): 11
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1159 | 1159 | 50% | 2026-04-04 | Lost |
| 1172 | 1160 | 52% | 2023-05-31 | Lost |
| 1172 | 1099 | 60% | 2022-04-14 | Won |
| 1087 | 1110 | 47% | 2022-01-28 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1147.5 vs 1132 has a 52.23% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).