Loosening the Noose
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 30 (10 on the archive and 20 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 16
Defender wins (German): 14
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1009 | 998 | 52% | 2025-12-22 | Lost |
| 989 | 1020 | 46% | 2025-03-18 | Won |
| 1072 | 1025 | 57% | 2025-03-05 | Won |
| 1199 | 1278 | 39% | 2024-09-01 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1185 | 27% | 2023-10-14 | Lost |
| 1075 | 927 | 70% | 2023-07-06 | Won |
| 850 | 1042 | 25% | 2022-10-22 | Lost |
| 1082 | 969 | 66% | 2022-08-27 | Won |
| 1090 | 1340 | 19% | 2022-07-06 | Lost |
| 1013 | 780 | 79% | 2022-03-25 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1038.9 vs 1056.4 has a 47.48% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).