Loosening the Noose
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 29 (9 on the archive and 20 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 14
Defender wins (German): 15
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 991 | 1020 | 46% | 2025-03-18 | Won |
| 1086 | 1039 | 57% | 2025-03-05 | Won |
| 1264 | 1257 | 51% | 2024-09-01 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1191 | 29% | 2023-10-14 | Lost |
| 1075 | 928 | 70% | 2023-07-06 | Won |
| 852 | 1066 | 23% | 2022-10-22 | Lost |
| 1084 | 970 | 66% | 2022-08-27 | Won |
| 1109 | 1310 | 24% | 2022-07-06 | Lost |
| 956 | 767 | 75% | 2022-03-25 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1050.3 vs 1060.9 has a 48.48% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).