Kebur Zabagna
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15 (6 on the archive and 9 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Ethiopian): 6
Defender wins (Eritrean): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1111 | 1111 | 50% | 2025-08-27 | Won |
| 1014 | 1028 | 48% | 2023-01-11 | Lost |
| 972 | 1219 | 19% | 2022-07-29 | Won |
| 974 | 1083 | 35% | 2022-07-02 | Lost |
| 933 | 1111 | 26% | 2022-05-22 | Lost |
| 946 | 947 | 50% | 2022-05-06 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 991.7 vs 1083.2 has a 37.13% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).