Kebur Zabagna
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15 (6 on the archive and 9 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Ethiopian): 9
Defender wins (Eritrean): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1065 | 1081 | 48% | 2025-08-27 | Won |
| 1014 | 1002 | 52% | 2023-01-11 | Lost |
| 1007 | 1218 | 23% | 2022-07-29 | Won |
| 974 | 1114 | 31% | 2022-07-02 | Lost |
| 951 | 1065 | 34% | 2022-05-22 | Lost |
| 949 | 805 | 70% | 2022-05-06 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 993.3 vs 1047.5 has a 42.27% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).