Kebur Zabagna
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15 (6 on the archive and 9 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Ethiopian): 9
Defender wins (Eritrean): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 999 | 999 | 50% | 2025-08-27 | Won |
| 980 | 1065 | 38% | 2023-01-11 | Lost |
| 1075 | 1216 | 31% | 2022-07-29 | Won |
| 998 | 1062 | 41% | 2022-07-02 | Lost |
| 973 | 999 | 46% | 2022-05-22 | Lost |
| 948 | 991 | 44% | 2022-05-06 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 995.5 vs 1055.3 has a 41.47% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).