Last Hope at New Flower
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 5
Attacker wins (Ethiopian): 2
Defender wins (Italian/Eritrean): 3
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1017 | 1017 | 50% | 2025-08-31 | Won |
| 1112 | 1108 | 51% | 2022-08-14 | Lost |
| 989 | 993 | 49% | 2022-07-31 | Won |
| 948 | 1125 | 27% | 2022-05-25 | Lost |
| 983 | 1017 | 45% | 2022-05-24 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1009.8 vs 1052 has a 43.96% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).