Last Hope at New Flower
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 4
Attacker wins (Ethiopian): 1
Defender wins (Italian/Eritrean): 3
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1112 | 1094 | 53% | 2022-08-14 | Lost |
| 989 | 942 | 57% | 2022-07-31 | Won |
| 945 | 1289 | 12% | 2022-05-25 | Lost |
| 933 | 1021 | 38% | 2022-05-24 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 994.8 vs 1086.5 has a 37.09% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).