The Trial
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 17 (7 on the archive and 10 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 8
Defender wins (German): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 890 | 1000 | 35% | 2026-03-30 | | Lost |
| 1017 | 989 | 54% | 2025-01-22 | | Won |
| 1209 | 990 | 78% | 2024-12-03 | | Won |
| 987 | 1055 | 40% | 2023-04-24 | | Won |
| 974 | 1070 | 37% | 2022-11-22 | | Lost |
| 1252 | 1045 | 77% | 2022-07-30 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1086 | 38% | | | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1047 vs 1033.6 has a 51.93% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).