Race to the River
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 29 (8 on the archive and 21 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 6
Defender wins (Japanese): 22
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 1
Defender wins (Japanese): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1039 | 1005 | 55% | 2024-07-12 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2024-04-21 | Lost |
| 972 | 1307 | 13% | 2023-02-21 | Lost |
| 786 | 1036 | 19% | 2023-02-01 | Lost |
| 1248 | 1088 | 72% | 2022-08-16 | Lost |
| 1048 | 1248 | 24% | 2022-08-05 | Lost |
| 1153 | 1219 | 41% | 2022-07-14 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1016 | 63% | 2022-07-08 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1055.5 vs 1125.9 has a 40.01% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).