Down by the River
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 57 (20 on the archive and 37 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German/German (SS)): 23
Defender wins (Russian): 34
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1140 | 1137 | 50% | 2025-11-08 | Lost |
| 952 | 1110 | 29% | 2025-05-14 | Lost |
| 1167 | 1176 | 49% | 2024-05-21 | Lost |
| 1347 | 1061 | 84% | 2024-05-18 | Won |
| 1088 | 1167 | 39% | 2024-03-04 | Won |
| 1122 | 1134 | 48% | 2024-02-10 | Lost |
| 1064 | 985 | 61% | 2024-02-04 | Lost |
| 1167 | 1222 | 42% | 2024-01-18 | Won |
| 1049 | 850 | 76% | 2024-01-17 | Won |
| 1064 | 998 | 59% | 2024-01-01 | Lost |
| 992 | 983 | 51% | 2023-11-20 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1195 | 28% | 2023-07-07 | Won |
| 1056 | 1120 | 41% | 2023-06-09 | Lost |
| 1072 | 1039 | 55% | 2023-05-22 | Lost |
| 941 | 894 | 57% | 2023-05-09 | Lost |
| 941 | 1023 | 38% | 2023-05-09 | Lost |
| 999 | 982 | 52% | 2023-03-23 | Won |
| 1174 | 1234 | 41% | 2023-02-24 | Won |
| 1052 | 955 | 64% | 2023-02-04 | Lost |
| 1167 | 1195 | 46% | 2023-01-28 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1079.3 vs 1073 has a 50.9% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).