Down by the River
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 57 (20 on the archive and 37 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German/German (SS)): 23
Defender wins (Russian): 34
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1140 | 1137 | 50% | 2025-11-08 | Lost |
| 980 | 1101 | 33% | 2025-05-14 | Lost |
| 1235 | 1175 | 59% | 2024-05-21 | Lost |
| 1342 | 1068 | 83% | 2024-05-18 | Won |
| 905 | 1235 | 13% | 2024-03-04 | Won |
| 1122 | 1134 | 48% | 2024-02-10 | Lost |
| 1063 | 1072 | 49% | 2024-02-04 | Lost |
| 1235 | 1219 | 52% | 2024-01-18 | Won |
| 1053 | 850 | 76% | 2024-01-17 | Won |
| 1102 | 975 | 68% | 2024-01-01 | Lost |
| 931 | 1045 | 34% | 2023-11-20 | Lost |
| 1030 | 991 | 56% | 2023-07-07 | Won |
| 1055 | 1123 | 40% | 2023-06-09 | Lost |
| 1072 | 1012 | 59% | 2023-05-22 | Lost |
| 941 | 894 | 57% | 2023-05-09 | Lost |
| 941 | 1073 | 32% | 2023-05-09 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1001 | 52% | 2023-03-23 | Won |
| 1157 | 1252 | 37% | 2023-02-24 | Won |
| 950 | 1075 | 33% | 2023-02-04 | Lost |
| 1235 | 991 | 80% | 2023-01-28 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1075.4 vs 1071.2 has a 50.6% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).