Down by the River
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 19
Attacker wins (German/German (SS)): 7
Defender wins (Russian): 12
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1141 | 1000 | 69% | 2025-11-08 | | Lost |
| 957 | 1136 | 26% | 2025-05-14 | | Lost |
| 1184 | 1154 | 54% | 2024-05-21 | | Lost |
| 1348 | 1022 | 87% | 2024-05-18 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1184 | 26% | 2024-03-04 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1119 | 34% | 2024-02-10 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1050 | 43% | 2024-02-04 | | Lost |
| 1184 | 1000 | 74% | 2024-01-18 | | Won |
| 1000 | 851 | 70% | 2024-01-17 | | Won |
| 1134 | 992 | 69% | 2024-01-01 | | Lost |
| 986 | 1033 | 43% | 2023-11-20 | | Lost |
| 1030 | 1000 | 54% | 2023-07-07 | | Won |
| 1056 | 1120 | 41% | 2023-06-09 | | Lost |
| 1064 | 1095 | 46% | 2023-05-22 | | Lost |
| 940 | 1000 | 41% | 2023-05-09 | | Lost |
| 940 | 987 | 43% | 2023-05-09 | | Lost |
| 963 | 1000 | 45% | 2023-03-23 | | Won |
| 1171 | 1219 | 43% | 2023-02-24 | | Won |
| 1055 | 1126 | 40% | 2023-02-04 | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1060.7 vs 1057.3 has a 50.49% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).