Down by the River
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 58 (20 on the archive and 38 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German/German (SS)): 23
Defender wins (Russian): 35
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1140 | 1137 | 50% | 2025-11-08 | Lost |
| 966 | 1117 | 30% | 2025-05-14 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1176 | 56% | 2024-05-21 | Lost |
| 1347 | 1070 | 83% | 2024-05-18 | Won |
| 1089 | 1219 | 32% | 2024-03-04 | Won |
| 1122 | 1120 | 50% | 2024-02-10 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1019 | 51% | 2024-02-04 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1221 | 50% | 2024-01-18 | Won |
| 1071 | 850 | 78% | 2024-01-17 | Won |
| 1059 | 991 | 60% | 2024-01-01 | Lost |
| 977 | 1046 | 40% | 2023-11-20 | Lost |
| 1031 | 991 | 56% | 2023-07-07 | Won |
| 1056 | 1120 | 41% | 2023-06-09 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1039 | 49% | 2023-05-22 | Lost |
| 940 | 894 | 57% | 2023-05-09 | Lost |
| 940 | 1021 | 39% | 2023-05-09 | Lost |
| 997 | 1217 | 22% | 2023-03-23 | Won |
| 1164 | 1226 | 41% | 2023-02-24 | Won |
| 992 | 1038 | 43% | 2023-02-04 | Lost |
| 1219 | 991 | 79% | 2023-01-28 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1080.4 vs 1075.2 has a 50.75% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).