Down by the River
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 54 (19 on the archive and 35 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German/German (SS)): 22
Defender wins (Russian): 32
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 975 | 1110 | 31% | 2025-05-14 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1175 | 57% | 2024-05-21 | Lost |
| 1342 | 1038 | 85% | 2024-05-18 | Won |
| 904 | 1226 | 14% | 2024-03-04 | Won |
| 1121 | 1110 | 52% | 2024-02-10 | Lost |
| 1063 | 1047 | 52% | 2024-02-04 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1051 | 73% | 2024-01-18 | Won |
| 1013 | 850 | 72% | 2024-01-17 | Won |
| 1148 | 915 | 79% | 2024-01-01 | Lost |
| 931 | 1035 | 35% | 2023-11-20 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1125 | 37% | 2023-07-07 | Won |
| 1054 | 1122 | 40% | 2023-06-09 | Lost |
| 1072 | 1025 | 57% | 2023-05-22 | Lost |
| 940 | 894 | 57% | 2023-05-09 | Lost |
| 940 | 1109 | 27% | 2023-05-09 | Lost |
| 1013 | 1006 | 51% | 2023-03-23 | Won |
| 1090 | 1340 | 19% | 2023-02-24 | Won |
| 1033 | 993 | 56% | 2023-02-04 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1125 | 64% | 2023-01-28 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1070.9 vs 1068.2 has a 50.39% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).