Down by the River
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 49 (17 on the archive and 32 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German/German (SS)): 21
Defender wins (Russian): 28
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1210 | 1111 | 64% | 2024-05-21 | Lost |
| 909 | 1210 | 15% | 2024-03-04 | Won |
| 1118 | 1092 | 54% | 2024-02-10 | Lost |
| 968 | 983 | 48% | 2024-02-04 | Lost |
| 1210 | 1008 | 76% | 2024-01-18 | Won |
| 862 | 852 | 51% | 2024-01-17 | Won |
| 1219 | 869 | 88% | 2024-01-01 | Lost |
| 910 | 1061 | 30% | 2023-11-20 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1032 | 50% | 2023-07-07 | Won |
| 1043 | 1110 | 40% | 2023-06-09 | Lost |
| 1086 | 1039 | 57% | 2023-05-22 | Lost |
| 872 | 894 | 47% | 2023-05-09 | Lost |
| 872 | 1082 | 23% | 2023-05-09 | Lost |
| 927 | 927 | 50% | 2023-03-23 | Won |
| 1096 | 1316 | 22% | 2023-02-24 | Won |
| 1045 | 967 | 61% | 2023-02-04 | Lost |
| 1210 | 1032 | 74% | 2023-01-28 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1034.5 vs 1034.4 has a 50.02% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).