Unhorsed
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 98 (32 on the archive and 66 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 49
Defender wins (German (SS)): 49
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 865 | 1021 | 29% | 2026-08-13 | Lost |
| 1105 | 1105 | 50% | 2026-02-26 | Lost |
| 1152 | 915 | 80% | 2026-02-21 | Won |
| 1038 | 1065 | 46% | 2025-11-07 | Won |
| 1195 | 951 | 80% | 2025-03-28 | Won |
| 1132 | 1023 | 65% | 2025-03-28 | Won |
| 1195 | 1132 | 59% | 2024-09-12 | Lost |
| 928 | 891 | 55% | 2024-08-03 | Won |
| 891 | 999 | 35% | 2024-07-27 | Lost |
| 1347 | 1185 | 72% | 2024-06-24 | Won |
| 1219 | 1434 | 22% | 2024-06-23 | Lost |
| 981 | 1031 | 43% | 2024-06-23 | Won |
| 1132 | 1079 | 58% | 2024-06-23 | Won |
| 906 | 1031 | 33% | 2024-06-15 | Lost |
| 981 | 1031 | 43% | 2024-05-25 | Lost |
| 1185 | 991 | 75% | 2024-05-12 | Won |
| 1060 | 1185 | 33% | 2024-04-22 | Won |
| 1004 | 1040 | 45% | 2024-04-18 | Lost |
| 976 | 1138 | 28% | 2024-03-07 | Won |
| 1171 | 1219 | 43% | 2024-02-22 | Lost |
| 976 | 981 | 49% | 2024-02-01 | Won |
| 890 | 890 | 50% | 2024-01-26 | Lost |
| 1087 | 1102 | 48% | 2024-01-23 | Lost |
| 948 | 951 | 50% | 2024-01-11 | Won |
| 972 | 1218 | 20% | 2023-05-25 | Lost |
| 1337 | 1263 | 60% | 2023-05-12 | Won |
| 1347 | 1038 | 86% | 2023-04-07 | Won |
| 1084 | 981 | 64% | 2023-03-26 | Won |
| 1141 | 777 | 89% | 2023-03-01 | Won |
| 1185 | 981 | 76% | 2023-02-02 | Won |
| 952 | 1156 | 24% | 2023-01-07 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1074 | 50% | | Won |
Attacking (19 wins) average ELOs: 1076.8 vs 1058.7 has a 52.6% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).