Moment of Truth
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 37 (16 on the archive and 21 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 10
Defender wins (Slovakian): 27
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1005 | 49% | 2024-04-27 | Won |
| 1109 | 1109 | 50% | 2023-12-02 | Lost |
| 1109 | 1156 | 43% | 2023-10-06 | Won |
| 1005 | 925 | 61% | 2023-09-30 | Won |
| 1074 | 989 | 62% | 2023-05-23 | Lost |
| 1024 | 1024 | 50% | 2023-05-07 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1077 | 39% | 2023-04-09 | Lost |
| 937 | 1000 | 41% | 2023-03-19 | Lost |
| 994 | 950 | 56% | 2023-03-11 | Lost |
| 1156 | 1000 | 71% | 2023-03-05 | Lost |
| 778 | 1000 | 22% | 2023-03-03 | Lost |
| 993 | 994 | 50% | 2023-02-13 | Lost |
| 1006 | 914 | 63% | 2023-02-11 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1039 | 44% | 2023-01-15 | Lost |
| 1176 | 1000 | 73% | 2023-01-14 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1070 | 48% | | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1026.1 vs 1015.8 has a 51.48% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).