Moment of Truth
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 37 (16 on the archive and 21 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 10
Defender wins (Slovakian): 27
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1047 | 1254 | 23% | 2024-04-27 | Won |
| 1109 | 1098 | 52% | 2023-12-02 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1189 | 35% | 2023-10-06 | Won |
| 1254 | 978 | 83% | 2023-09-30 | Won |
| 1010 | 1014 | 49% | 2023-05-23 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2023-05-07 | Lost |
| 1047 | 1342 | 15% | 2023-04-09 | Lost |
| 1027 | 1012 | 52% | 2023-03-19 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1098 | 40% | 2023-03-11 | Lost |
| 1189 | 1085 | 65% | 2023-03-05 | Lost |
| 905 | 1054 | 30% | 2023-03-03 | Lost |
| 1226 | 978 | 81% | 2023-02-13 | Lost |
| 986 | 1078 | 37% | 2023-02-11 | Lost |
| 964 | 978 | 48% | 2023-01-15 | Lost |
| 946 | 755 | 75% | 2023-01-14 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1047 | 60% | | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1064.3 vs 1065.5 has a 49.82% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).